La Liga · resolved market
Will Burgos CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91c0eec69df1dd9c214bcd8ba22c2156a92888a9eafb2e0ef49d8ce093dd8566
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,540$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 18c | 800$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.05 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 770.68$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.91 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 401.61$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 31c | 274.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…56d8backed Yes | 17c | 236.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 69c | 233.91$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 213.05$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 31c | 212.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 31c | 212.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…423abacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 13c | 141.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 70c | 114$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 71c | 107$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 70c | 103$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 70c | 101$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 31c | 92.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed No | 70c | 84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 70c | 76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 30c | 69.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 70c | 66.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 71c | 61.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 54.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…4355backed Yes | 20c | 52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 70c | 45.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked No | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Yes | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed No | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 70c | 22.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked No | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed No | 71c | 14.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…c578backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 69cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burgos CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-01-15?No won
- Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.