TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Michael Mmoh

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gironof Giron, Mmoh
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,161

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcec3…b76dbacked Mmoh40c25,096$9,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,989.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Mmoh18c11,017$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00028444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Mmoh26c10,066$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.8812442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Giron60c7,971$4,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,156.5578152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Mmoh29c7,576$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.3731647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Giron68c6,590$4,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.348,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Mmoh26c6,211$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.9219134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Giron77c5,876$4,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.5614766.7%98 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Giron70c5,335$3,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.42,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Giron59c4,746$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.9617823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Giron62c4,293$2,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.2613852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Giron60c4,089$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.7376140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9372…3b1abacked Mmoh1c3,659$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1a…cee8backed Mmoh21c3,474$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Mmoh32c3,388$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.791,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Giron60c2,951$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.9339144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Mmoh41c2,735$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.0135247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Mmoh38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Giron72c2,589$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.622,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Mmoh41c2,226$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.3425428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x710c…892cbacked Mmoh41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8201931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Giron59c1,912$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.82,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Mmoh40c1,501$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60023429.9%70 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf73d…80e7backed Mmoh1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Giron67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.543375.8%25 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mmoh23c1,458$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.132,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Giron69c1,350$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.942,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Giron60c1,320$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.67,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Mmoh41c1,166$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4783745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Mmoh31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.957645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Mmoh29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Mmoh40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9940141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Mmoh23c999.97$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.994860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Giron64c937.22$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.463247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Giron72c912.56$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.661136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Mmoh15c899.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510036%36 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Mmoh38c800$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30446649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Mmoh39c650.19$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5819043.7%83 W · 107 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Giron74c642$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.92757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Mmoh41c607.32$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24922744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Giron80c600$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1207357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Giron76c538.07$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.249833.7%33 W · 65 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Giron60c520$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20814744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Mmoh42c500$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9958639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Giron60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Mmoh41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2059857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e13…670bbacked Giron60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Giron65c491.37$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.828348.2%40 W · 43 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giron61c478.09$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.381,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Giron64c462.23$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.271353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Mmoh33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Giron60c450$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Giron60c415.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.31,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Giron72c386.04$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.382,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Giron67c343.96$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.962,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Giron63c323.27$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.366259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Mmoh31c319.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a1e…c2eabacked Mmoh39c299.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf0…d53ebacked Mmoh39c279.87$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.951471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Mmoh38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Giron61c262.3$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.337339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Mmoh34c261$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6312627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Mmoh40c251.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Giron60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008150.6%41 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9501…a052backed Giron60c206.97$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.971675%12 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked Giron73c200$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mmoh40c199.61$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.051,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Mmoh18c195.27$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.61618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb417…0fd2backed Giron61c186.89$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.93933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5778…86c0backed Giron61c182.51$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.186533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Mmoh33c180.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Giron60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6714060.7%85 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Giron60c165.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7110862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Giron61c164.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.014351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0027…c6b0backed Mmoh10c163.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1660%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Mmoh38c160.53$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6113138.9%51 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b7…304dbacked Giron64c157.45$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.68850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mmoh36c149.04$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2855143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed20…84f1backed Giron59c140$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.12825%7 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mmoh21c135$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.21,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3d…f8c6backed Giron76c131.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581172.7%8 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick76cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f0a…046bbacked Giron77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.92862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick78cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a4f…3ae6backed Mmoh18c126.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.73531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Giron58c125$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.534842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Giron60c124$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.521,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6476…a8f9backed Giron79c123.89$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Giron74c119.69$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.637,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Mmoh36c114$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0433055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Mmoh24c105.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6635932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe513…3328backed Giron66c105$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1a…3652backed Giron60c101.66$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.661346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34da…ac26backed Giron64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe798…b668backed Giron60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Giron63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3717863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Giron75c86.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5628139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4580…16e3backed Mmoh41c85.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Mmoh33c85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.051,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0baa…88b6backed Giron60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Giron61c82.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.253953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5428…1c69backed Mmoh40c78.37$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.