Tennis · resolved market
Giron vs. Mmoh: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca7f9ca5038413ea350279d6e03ed3a7bb60338feacddc9527c4fbc87fbdb3ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 67c | 306.21$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…670bbacked Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 69c | 137$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 69c | 128$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 69c | 122$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 69c | 101$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 68c | 97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 69c | 88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 69c | 64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Over | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 31c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Over | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Over | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Over | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Over | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Giron vs. Mmoh: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5this page
- Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Michael MmohGiron won
- Set 1 Winner: Giron vs MmohGiron won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.