Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x930c9487b7db11c38f3623a668c76e2b8174f773a388307b31e5541fa2e65477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Bilibili Gaming, Top Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $479,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $588,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Top Esports | 69c | 118,598$81,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,786.04 | 140 | 56.4%79 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671f…328cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 100,000$41,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,994.16 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e15…cfdbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 23,678$16,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,669.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…8caebacked Top Esports | 74c | 22,454$16,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,806.13 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d35…0b94backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 16,992$10,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,635.96 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Top Esports | 30c | 11,111$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,777.7 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Top Esports | 46c | 10,915$5,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,858.61 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Top Esports | 29c | 10,197$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,227.95 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Top Esports | 39c | 8,929$3,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,455.29 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Bilibili Gaming | 33c | 8,690$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.96 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Top Esports | 61c | 8,366$5,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,235.1 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Top Esports | 77c | 7,903$6,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.47 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Bilibili Gaming | 1c | 7,332$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed Top Esports | 77c | 6,782$5,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.35 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…1094backed Bilibili Gaming | 25c | 5,400$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.34 | 206 | 21.8%45 W · 161 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 26c | 5,104$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.23 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Top Esports | 58c | 5,030$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.6 | 334 | 56%187 W · 147 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Top Esports | 50c | 4,343$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.28 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Top Esports | 53c | 4,090$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.05 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Top Esports | 79c | 3,712$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.5 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Top Esports | 73c | 3,700$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.37 | 305 | 45.2%138 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed Top Esports | 75c | 3,658$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.24 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…0d23backed Top Esports | 55c | 3,627$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.06 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Top Esports | 47c | 3,156$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.41 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…a594backed Bilibili Gaming | 6c | 3,093$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -80%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Top Esports | 54c | 2,534$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.16 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 19c | 2,371$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.09 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafda…0fccbacked Top Esports | 78c | 2,284$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.03 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…29d0backed Top Esports | 68c | 2,269$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.7 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Top Esports | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Top Esports | 75c | 1,927$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.36 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 7c | 1,900$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Top Esports | 68c | 1,843$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.83 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Top Esports | 57c | 1,791$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.95 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 1,710$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.01 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…c1c9backed Top Esports | 58c | 1,691$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.78 | 44 | 86.4%38 W · 6 L | +13.4wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 72+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Top Esports | 46c | 1,533$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.33 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 1,450$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Bilibili Gaming | 10c | 1,151$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 2c | 1,111$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Top Esports | 57c | 1,111$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.73 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…bbccbacked Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 1,100$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.74 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…47bdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 1c | 1,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Top Esports | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed Top Esports | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 198 | 39.9%79 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.99 | 268 | 65.7%176 W · 92 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Top Esports | 31c | 999.95$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.97 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Top Esports | 76c | 982.67$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.68 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…85f1backed Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 982.51$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.85 | 130 | 56.9%74 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Top Esports | 61c | 950$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 942.99$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.21 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 911.99$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.98 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b87…75d0backed Top Esports | 29c | 841.14$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.21 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Top Esports | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Top Esports | 75c | 804.32$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.08 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35d…8a78backed Top Esports | 27c | 800$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda2…de79backed Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 799.96$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Bilibili Gaming | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…a2fdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 701.38$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x905c…de69backed Top Esports | 29c | 700$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb666…0dcbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 699.99$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 689.99$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 650.41$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.78 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 650$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.06 | 306 | 61.1%187 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f28…f002backed Top Esports | 71c | 640.36$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Top Esports | 63c | 639.97$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.54 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 615.37$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.61 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked Top Esports | 35c | 604.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.39 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Top Esports | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…fa2ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 26c | 583.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed Top Esports | 56c | 562.67$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.98 | 189 | 14.8%28 W · 161 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…e4d4backed Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 554.84$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.26 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Top Esports | 54c | 549.97$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.49 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Top Esports | 39c | 519.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.99 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +20.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Top Esports | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Bilibili Gaming | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Top Esports | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 482.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 481.34$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Top Esports | 39c | 456.12$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.08 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…d4d3backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 451.43$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Top Esports | 29c | 448.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.28 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ca…eb95backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 430.96$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 7c | 422.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 35.2%103 W · 190 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…8b03backed Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 414.67$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.14 | 684 | 43.6%298 W · 386 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 408.42$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,021 | 48%490 W · 531 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Top Esports | 77c | 399.61$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…9b3fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 392.11$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.33 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Top Esports | 77c | 350.26$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Top Esports | 30c | 340$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 6c | 338.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 171 | 32.2%55 W · 116 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…d1ffbacked Top Esports | 62c | 330$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…ece9backed Top Esports | 31c | 322.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.4 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Top Esports | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Top Esports | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57a…fe9fbacked Top Esports | 71c | 311.98$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Bilibili Gaming | 6c | 309.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad2…c9e4backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Top Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.