Premier League · resolved market
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2680da23006480e48175721ba6184d04692e39c7a0b5736a09b0e53410ab594
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 26,545$7,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,122.29 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 70c | 25,978$18,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,869.78 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 71c | 10,597$7,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.99 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Under | 76c | 7,881$5,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.96 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 7,215$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.99 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Over | 34c | 3,350$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 3,250$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.84 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 75c | 2,020$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 32c | 1,087$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.76 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Over | 29c | 1,000$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 56c | 708.66$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.81 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c25…2971backed Under | 79c | 547.99$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 23c | 538.53$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a94…0f59backed Under | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 76cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 34c | 265$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…b707backed Under | 60c | 209.28$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…ec08backed Over | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 34c | 131.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…bbccbacked Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…2c52backed Over | 28c | 120.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0252…38d7backed Over | 24c | 120.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 65c | 102.63$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 34c | 81.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 26c | 72.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396d…2fd2backed Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Over | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6f…06bdbacked Over | 19c | 64.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…17adbacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 25c | 45.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 43.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed3…205bbacked Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Under | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed Under | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Under | 75c | 21.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…09dabacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 65c | 19.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad11…b587backed Under | 71c | 15.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6422…a346backed Under | 70c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Under | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.