TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,232 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under67c97,532$65,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,0008962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over33c49,690$16,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,491.152,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over36c20,680$7,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,232.071,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under64c20,472$13,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,101.785556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c10,325$4,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,256.874,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over35c10,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,50025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over70c5,000$3,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.9112642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Over33c5,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3508853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c4,133$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.776,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under47c3,870$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.756142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over34c3,137$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.8639156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Under64c2,400$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5365560%33 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over35c2,235$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.342,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over33c2,121$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.0721056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9803151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over65c1,990$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.484052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under49c1,955$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.5213841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over33c1,568$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.6849254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over35c1,137$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.0572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4706741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc317…5b24backed Over72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over35c800$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Over34c700$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46229427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0617161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a87…0f4abacked Under40c550$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5417428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc304…2c49backed Over69c424$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.441060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over35c400$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1416731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1bbe…1559backed Over62c327.81$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.699345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Under65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022356.5%126 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked Under65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over71c267.61$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6115263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Under7c255.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.126038.3%23 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under41c244.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over35c240$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15637557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over35c240$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15635157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13025553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Under64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1284240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Over53c188.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.744656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8230645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0068…1b85backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca49…daddbacked Under65c180.55$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over35c180$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11737554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over35c180$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11736259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over70c160$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4825256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…48e4backed Under47c159.97$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.191020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-2.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over36c128.69$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3640953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over35c120$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7826158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over35c120$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7832255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over35c120$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7835056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over35c120$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over35c120$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7828255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over35c120$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under39c112.51$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8840841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1135328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2285…4bf1backed Over53c106.95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.952437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over37c102.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.77642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x396d…2fd2backed Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Under65c92.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.510846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked Over38c81.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.654949%24 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over35c80$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5227661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over35c80$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5224844.4%110 W · 138 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Under27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over35c70$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.526959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Over36c70$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ea…f3f2backed Under29c60.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3933156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3926958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3928458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3926259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3923658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3933057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3925858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3925558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3931359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3929057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3927354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3931557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3928359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3922858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3920556.6%116 W · 89 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3932158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0535743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a50…6c6bbacked Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.058332.5%27 W · 56 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x80e2…9ff7backed Under36c52.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.635056%28 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over61c51.12$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9812748.8%62 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under24c50.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3289152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.058048.8%39 W · 41 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x86b6…2c52backed Under33c48.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-61.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x783a…56cbbacked Under63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1728654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Under65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306549.2%32 W · 33 L-8.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.