Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0686d73e3c35a56327be7717e1ee6e4581bb305cece2a3f0779583a9ddeeb233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 67c | 97,532$65,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,000 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 33c | 49,690$16,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,491.15 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 36c | 20,680$7,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,232.07 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 64c | 20,472$13,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,101.78 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 10,325$4,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,256.87 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 70c | 5,000$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.91 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Over | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 4,133$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.77 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 47c | 3,870$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.75 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 34c | 3,137$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.86 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 64c | 2,400$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 35c | 2,235$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.34 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 33c | 2,121$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.07 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 65c | 1,990$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.48 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 1,955$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.52 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 33c | 1,568$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.68 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 35c | 1,137$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.05 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…5b24backed Over | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 35c | 800$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 34c | 700$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a87…0f4abacked Under | 40c | 550$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…2c49backed Over | 69c | 424$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Over | 62c | 327.81$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.69 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 71c | 267.61$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Under | 7c | 255.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 41c | 244.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 35c | 240$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 35c | 240$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Over | 53c | 188.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca49…daddbacked Under | 65c | 180.55$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 35c | 180$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 35c | 180$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…48e4backed Under | 47c | 159.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 36c | 128.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 39c | 112.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Over | 53c | 106.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x396d…2fd2backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Under | 65c | 92.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Over | 38c | 81.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 276 | 61.6%170 W · 106 L | +22.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Under | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Over | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ea…f3f2backed Under | 29c | 60.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 284 | 58.8%167 W · 117 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 262 | 59.5%156 W · 106 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 255 | 58.8%150 W · 105 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…6c6bbacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…9ff7backed Under | 36c | 52.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…d57ebacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 61c | 51.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 24c | 50.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…2c52backed Under | 33c | 48.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783a…56cbbacked Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.