Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1ddb51e193ed58a3cbbcba8275ee706cce09b8ed9dbfb655748daae7ed5f4ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 47c | 4,765$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.55 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 4,285$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.77 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 47c | 2,118$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 45c | 1,404$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.46 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 55c | 902.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 700.52$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.38 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 56c | 448.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.5 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…0370backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 54c | 288.76$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 255.37$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.23 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 53c | 210.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Yes | 56c | 203.32$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 59c | 201.72$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 198.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…d6f0backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f1…b270backed Yes | 57c | 154.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ddb5backed Yes | 55c | 138.18$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 56c | 123.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 55c | 117.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes | 54c | 111.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…54c9backed Yes | 55c | 110.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 108$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Yes | 55c | 82.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed No | 46c | 76.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…17adbacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 56c | 66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 44c | 66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed No | 46c | 64.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaced…e23abacked No | 46c | 64.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…9cf7backed Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f4…30d0backed Yes | 55c | 58.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed No | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Yes | 55c | 53.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…74c7backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 54c | 33.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x932d…68d5backed Yes | 55c | 28.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Yes | 54c | 28.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 43c | 27.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Yes | 54c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…9320backed Yes | 54c | 24.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca7…6e6ebacked Yes | 55c | 21.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc850…df3abacked Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…7937backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…d6d7backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…b87ebacked Yes | 55c | 18.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.