TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oh My Godof Ultra Prime, Oh My God
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,290
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,290 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Oh My God53c10,638$5,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,999.9413453.7%72 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed Ultra Prime47c10,541$4,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,943.4121448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Ultra Prime1c7,332$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.23775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…14adbacked Oh My God50c6,226$3,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,113.07580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe795…8caebacked Oh My God67c4,611$3,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.0920354.7%111 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Ultra Prime47c4,546$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.916034.4%55 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x060d…1094backed Ultra Prime27c4,530$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.120621.8%45 W · 161 L-18.1wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-50.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Ultra Prime12c4,149$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.471,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Ultra Prime46c3,890$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.3510445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ultra Prime26c3,691$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.442,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Ultra Prime40c3,419$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.1331644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Oh My God53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.9882352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f80…a594backed Ultra Prime4c2,473$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.37254%1 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-80%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Oh My God55c2,375$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.697852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd587…0213backed Ultra Prime48c2,130$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x190a…6ae2backed Ultra Prime50c2,107$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b8…7257backed Ultra Prime48c2,100$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1375…a070backed Ultra Prime50c2,062$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.211163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5565…6448backed Ultra Prime50c2,057$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.381625%4 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Oh My God53c1,967$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.541,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Oh My God50c1,880$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.151,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Oh My God66c1,863$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.931,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ultra Prime36c1,850$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.8185046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b4…05d1backed Oh My God52c1,750$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8402100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e78…29d0backed Ultra Prime42c1,704$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.4824248.3%117 W · 125 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Oh My God54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc619…54babacked Oh My God52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Ultra Prime53c1,315$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70076639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Ultra Prime44c1,232$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5481,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ultra Prime46c1,179$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.912,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Oh My God51c1,177$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.6118244.5%81 W · 101 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d35…0b94backed Oh My God56c1,171$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.812556%14 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Oh My God54c1,065$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.7841644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Ultra Prime29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2907759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Ultra Prime2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202193.2%7 W · 212 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Oh My God54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Ultra Prime49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49026865.7%176 W · 92 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed Ultra Prime4c999.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018914.8%28 W · 161 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f61…7c21backed Oh My God52c990$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.22835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked Oh My God55c928.95$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.0318053.3%96 W · 84 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Oh My God56c865.14$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.261,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Oh My God53c803$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.411,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb666…0dcbbacked Ultra Prime45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602650%13 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe559…0975backed Oh My God52c799.99$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a6…0a89backed Ultra Prime45c799.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Ultra Prime25c701.61$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6412433.9%42 W · 82 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x905c…de69backed Oh My God51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3433243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc4…c01ebacked Ultra Prime44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b72…751ebacked Oh My God56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Ultra Prime26c655$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.311054.5%60 W · 50 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Ultra Prime49c654.11$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.5169756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Ultra Prime52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.985746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Oh My God61c596.58$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.021,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Ultra Prime33c527.09$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4425038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Ultra Prime30c502.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1846258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe99a…e9fbbacked Ultra Prime49c499.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.993231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Oh My God54c490$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.41,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Oh My God61c477.93$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.391,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Oh My God53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18871249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Ultra Prime29c391.97$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0214145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Oh My God55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6411559.1%68 W · 47 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Oh My God57c348.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.871,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Oh My God54c347.56$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8818961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65ac…2feebacked Oh My God60c332.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4414751.7%76 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Oh My God49c324.93$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.81,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Ultra Prime34c313.77$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2650643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Oh My God55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13564553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Oh My God71c271$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5944751%228 W · 219 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Ultra Prime45c213.95$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.31,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e1c…4741backed Ultra Prime47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1a…6c2bbacked Ultra Prime47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed Ultra Prime47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003318.2%6 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Ultra Prime10c208.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2063448.1%305 W · 329 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Oh My God50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.521137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Ultra Prime8c200.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1614012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Ultra Prime50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd227…b4cebacked Ultra Prime10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205211.5%6 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Oh My God48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10486758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d5…d4d3backed Oh My God78c192.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.297656.6%43 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Oh My God55c187.56$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.49151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Ultra Prime31c167.05$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5170443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Ultra Prime25c166.28$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.861,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Ultra Prime7c146.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4517132.2%55 W · 116 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x868b…1eb0backed Oh My God51c136.52$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9910550.5%53 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Oh My God58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3121747%102 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Oh My God53c124$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9653640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Ultra Prime17c121.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0714544.8%65 W · 80 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x023c…931abacked Ultra Prime34c120.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.17850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Ultra Prime14c119.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7960124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Oh My God52c115.02$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0274344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Oh My God54c110.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.959461.7%58 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked Ultra Prime47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509147.3%43 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Oh My God55c101.82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.829348.4%45 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa132…eebdbacked Oh My God53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa68e…94b3backed Ultra Prime47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd711…bbccbacked Ultra Prime15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.962958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c86…9f68backed Ultra Prime46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed Ultra Prime47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4768443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Ultra Prime50c95.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.623438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Oh My God64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7550455%277 W · 227 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.