Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b9989d8146858737e07f5e9ff5374853a1b701557ce1eb254a1c148585941f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under | 46c | 5,234$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 3,417$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.34 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…4a00backed Over | 39c | 2,280$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,663$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.01 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 29c | 1,615$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.6 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 55c | 1,451$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.64 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 1,249$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.14 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 52c | 1,230$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.15 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Under | 78c | 603.59$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4255backed Under | 46c | 575.48$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 43c | 356.27$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.08 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Under | 66c | 303.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 71c | 283$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.93 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0236…fa20backed Under | 73c | 274.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 57c | 264.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.96 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Over | 57c | 261.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Over | 43c | 233.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 52c | 199.97$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 58c | 197.13$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 196.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.66 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 51c | 194.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Over | 56c | 177.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 56c | 155.53$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 47c | 152.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 30c | 133.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 44c | 132.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 45c | 130.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 45c | 125.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Under | 48c | 124.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 29c | 110.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 58c | 102.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Under | 45c | 101.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…a442backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c5…deeebacked Under | 51c | 95.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 55c | 93.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 55c | 90.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Under | 47c | 80.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Under | 64c | 77.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 56c | 73.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 56c | 72.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…bbccbacked Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 40c | 67.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 58c | 55.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 59c | 54.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 58c | 49.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…adcebacked Under | 40c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 52c | 42.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x078e…7952backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 49c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Over | 53c | 38.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…8475backed Over | 52c | 36.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 47c | 35.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 57c | 35.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…0814backed Under | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 77c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Under | 66c | 32.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 48c | 27.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 46c | 23.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…83e7backed Over | 52c | 21.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…6170backed Over | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Under | 70c | 16.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920c…25b6backed Under | 72c | 14.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.