Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0db921d048fb8381a22083adeba2d90c0b02e280c7e59305f1e03281e474bf64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Over | 77c | 3,500$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 62c | 2,884$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.59 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 2,829$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.99 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 23c | 2,387$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.77 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…9f40backed Under | 36c | 1,802$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 67c | 1,507$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 42c | 763.16$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.16 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 517.69$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.88 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Under | 51c | 511.43$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 452.34$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 41c | 349.1$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 342.27$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.09 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 300.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.54 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 52c | 288$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 74c | 270$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 66c | 256.12$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 60c | 232.12$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 66c | 228.74$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 76c | 203.95$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Under | 25c | 196.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Over | 59c | 194.93$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 39c | 194.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Over | 46c | 163.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 62c | 161.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Under | 25c | 157.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 35c | 154.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 73c | 137.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bb…b369backed Over | 78c | 128.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 38c | 127.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…2866backed Over | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 75c | 119.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc749…e803backed Under | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 46c | 108.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 33c | 100.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…e072backed Under | 40c | 100.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 63c | 99.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 77c | 97.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Under | 34c | 95.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 65c | 89.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Under | 28c | 84.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 27c | 79.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 63c | 79.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 39c | 70.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 72c | 64.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 29c | 63.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…bc38backed Over | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 77c | 55.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Under | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 59c | 44.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…8249backed Over | 52c | 40.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6952…40d8backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8802…91d6backed Over | 55c | 36.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…2994backed Over | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 60c | 33.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a3…8e6fbacked Under | 40c | 33.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…13a3backed Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…2e7cbacked Over | 63c | 31.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 54c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 65c | 26.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Over | 62c | 26.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…f38dbacked Over | 58c | 25.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…6170backed Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc600…e634backed Over | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…ea7ebacked Over | 54c | 24.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…fb93backed Over | 54c | 22.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…a141backed Over | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce1…70a4backed Over | 74c | 20.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…0458backed Over | 72c | 17.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Over | 74c | 17.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 72c | 16.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…a568backed Over | 74c | 14.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.