Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71d4de7a6d471b0a819cbef2c569eb4f886c1b57efa31477d98e729494c8ffa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 34c | 1,540$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 1,127$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.11 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed No | 49c | 585$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.65 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 67c | 439$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.23 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Yes | 52c | 183.18$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked No | 29c | 175.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 34c | 164.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 66c | 163.14$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Yes | 70c | 142.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes | 57c | 134.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 66c | 121.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 74c | 102.47$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 25c | 88.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 74c | 82.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9795…390dbacked No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 73c | 68.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5d…526fbacked Yes | 75c | 61.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 38c | 54.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 26c | 51.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 72c | 38.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb793…15d0backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…b9f6backed Yes | 72c | 34.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb6…4e70backed Yes | 71c | 28.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 62c | 28.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…349cbacked Yes | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Yes | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -6.1wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Yes | 75c | 26.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…5079backed Yes | 76c | 26.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed Yes | 69c | 25.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Yes | 67c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…a568backed Yes | 75c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 76c | 18.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6b44backed Yes | 65c | 15.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.