TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,626
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,626 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under66c2,823$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.851656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Over33c2,343$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.171741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Under39c716.15$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.153542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf933…8a76backed Under43c632.86$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.653636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over60c534.76$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.8524529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Under51c515.51$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.949151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x674a…3600backed Under67c477.88$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.883148.4%15 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under40c451.78$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.0716851.2%86 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…c7b4backed Under35c425.06$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.286165.6%40 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3ff7…a0dfbacked Over53c423$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.358436.9%31 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Under68c400.99$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.321,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Under33c399.62$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8454129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x916c…669abacked Over58c395.72$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2298733.3%29 W · 58 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2de…6e5cbacked Under43c344.92$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9210560%63 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x939f…7eabbacked Under39c324.36$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.424742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…f1f3backed Under37c320$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5224648.4%119 W · 127 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Over48c317.1$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.214131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b0…3ec9backed Over67c300.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+158.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Over62c300$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18721536.7%79 W · 136 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over72c264.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1816344.8%73 W · 90 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Over65c257.4$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.618334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over61c251.65$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5120151.7%104 W · 97 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x552e…a856backed Over62c222.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.253237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under52c222.98$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2970443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96f…b5e5backed Over66c201.83$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Over62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12410652.8%56 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Over52c199.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9911637.1%43 W · 73 L-13.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c185.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0585046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x382c…2261backed Over68c176$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6813350.4%67 W · 66 L-14.8wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c44…6ecebacked Over57c175.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over58c172.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035545.4%161 W · 194 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Under48c157.3$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.818945.5%86 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Under33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.51,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under38c144.66$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3954054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over14c142.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.513957.1%28 W · 367 L-122.2wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.1%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over20c141.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2895551.7%494 W · 461 L-12.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under33c136$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.589810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over67c133.53$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9047951.4%246 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Over9c130.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9537641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under39c119$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2959647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over63c108.76$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.523,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe87…062abacked Under38c105.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.82060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90b9…b227backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532152.4%11 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick30cpaid+85.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Over55c99.25$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9939451%201 W · 193 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Under55c94.71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.348554.1%46 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6f…3224backed Under56c86.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.461369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Under50c86.43$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.475461.1%33 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Over68c80.79$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5546560%279 W · 186 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under35c80$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f1…f301backed Over66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016264.2%104 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Under40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4518165.7%119 W · 62 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…0f89backed Over68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf056…b5dfbacked Over67c70$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db4…9e0abacked Under37c66.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ad…d823backed Under39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.18555.3%47 W · 38 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+50.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Under48c63.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1222350.2%112 W · 111 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under32c60.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.411,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689a…ab74backed Over66c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.616360.1%98 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under41c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.559741.2%40 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Under28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.528837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Over28c58.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3950643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Under70c51.96$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5164146.5%298 W · 343 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd35…ecebbacked Under40c50.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+181.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under29c49.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3944128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a94…0f59backed Under33c44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.38333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013551.9%70 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Under35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea0e…a5dabacked Under38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over63c39.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Under53c37.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.794656.5%26 W · 20 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+27.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b99…8600backed Over69c36.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5db0…73f1backed Over66c34.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.64660.9%28 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under67c33.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.159952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7fd3…b3c2backed Under62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaf1…47a4backed Over67c30.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203557.1%20 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31de…03ffbacked Under80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b3…98eabacked Over67c23.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Under66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7332952.9%174 W · 155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over68c21.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536467.3%245 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4283…b5dabacked Over70c21.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked Over61c21.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.837154.9%39 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.55538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80f9…3ab9backed Over67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.421146%97 W · 114 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.