NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefc776d9e620f4b16355d4811f5e323ff4e703244a8847eb889b9dcf6d8eda83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,949,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,952,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,949,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Warriors | 53c | 1,049,497$558,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490,596.5 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 591,152$276,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276,429.9 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 53c | 470,377$249,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221,080.08 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 391,188$182,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182,554.5 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 200,000$94,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,000 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 123,655$59,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,426.18 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 64,569$31,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,082.48 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Warriors | 50c | 33,388$16,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,714.7 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Warriors | 48c | 29,583$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,383.31 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 27,182$13,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,202.76 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Warriors | 52c | 21,388$11,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,266.23 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 18,900$8,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,883 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 16,034$7,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,921.68 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 16,000$7,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,680 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…3d20backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 14,231$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Warriors | 52c | 11,840$6,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,683.2 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 11,810$5,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,603.56 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.17 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Warriors | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 52c | 10,000$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7372…8c10backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 8,613$4,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,478.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc946…1825backed Warriors | 51c | 8,515$4,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,172.35 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 8,269$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 7,999$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 7,142$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.59 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 7,046$3,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,311.83 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Warriors | 50c | 6,390$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,195.03 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 50c | 6,174$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors | 51c | 5,875$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.89 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Warriors | 58c | 5,837$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.08 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc640…d55fbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 5,577$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Warriors | 52c | 5,478$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.9 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed Warriors | 53c | 4,700$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 4,400$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.99 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 4,392$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.16 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 4,230$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.33 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.99 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 4,035$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.48 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,868$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.08 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 3,791$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.47 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 3,771$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.21 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Warriors | 52c | 3,382$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.36 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 3,323$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.8 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb248…3652backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 3,102$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.95 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 2,865$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.55 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Warriors | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Warriors | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…ce10backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 2,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,329$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…cbdbbacked Trail Blazers | 39c | 2,155$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.79 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Warriors | 52c | 2,105$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.4 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 2,100$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…2052backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…3cccbacked Warriors | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…5850backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…abbdbacked Warriors | 49c | 2,083$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.33 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 2,077$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…8a0bbacked Warriors | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…6313backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Warriors | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Warriors | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,835$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.4 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Warriors | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Warriors | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 52c | 1,761$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.08 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,706$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.8 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Warriors | 53c | 1,698$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.36 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,485$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Warriors | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,382$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,170$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.05 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,095$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…d900backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,015$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.96 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,000$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.76 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Warriors | 53c | 974.89$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.2 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 71c | 962$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.43 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 48c | 922.18$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.54 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 54c | 888$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.53 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Warriors | 70c | 857.63$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.3 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)this page
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)Warriors won
- Trail Blazers vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.