NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x765c2bdb101083006ff944fbb0a1f35b4d192448e5ec9552731828940aae1c6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 53c | 21,847$11,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,204.61 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…d406backed Over | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 14,882$6,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,924.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…b8f8backed Under | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 58c | 4,940$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.38 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 53c | 3,200$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 2,836$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.32 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 45c | 2,237$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 56c | 2,066$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.64 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 40c | 2,004$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.47 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 1,973$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Under | 51c | 1,954$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.25 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 45c | 1,147$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.23 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Over | 45c | 786.92$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.55 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 51c | 770.72$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.6 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 723$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.5 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 29c | 650$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.38 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 79c | 636.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 80c | 610$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Under | 58c | 518.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.03 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 36c | 418.08$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.58 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 48c | 211.26$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.86 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 48c | 192$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 43c | 189$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…fe22backed Under | 57c | 179$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 156.32$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Over | 40c | 135.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 41c | 130.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Under | 79c | 101.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 44c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked Over | 27c | 63.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 57c | 63.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…6259backed Under | 80c | 51.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa8…2e0dbacked Under | 80c | 51.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 53c | 51.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 56c | 31.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 63c | 29.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 317 | 45.4%144 W · 173 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over | 48c | 24.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…2d9cbacked Over | 48c | 21.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…b99abacked Under | 52c | 19.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5this page
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)Warriors won
- Trail Blazers vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.