TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$979,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$982,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $979,102 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over53c647,757$341,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341,236.2687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Under47c500,000$235,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265,0004452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c142,427$69,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,705.942,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under51c109,136$55,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,527.161,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c88,483$45,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,249.31,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c63,009$31,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,933.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over47c41,733$19,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,797.0819754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under52c21,085$10,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,120.651,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over52c15,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,799.9666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under53c14,653$7,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,887.0716752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over50c14,519$7,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,259.7424650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over50c14,418$7,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,208.91,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under52c13,000$6,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,24087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4704…eddebacked Under49c12,333$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,333.331163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c11,842$5,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,165.373,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under47c11,111$5,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,888.8324554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Under53c5,660$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.3815855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d2f…6cadbacked Under49c4,064$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.17742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c4,023$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.025,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under48c3,900$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,02812151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over47c2,490$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.472,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over49c2,371$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.932,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under52c1,471$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.1148054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under48c1,288$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.7836351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Over48c997.87$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.31,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Under54c760$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.65152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c734.88$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.994,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d0…6078backed Over48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Over47c575$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.255050%25 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Over6c463.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8335326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under48c436.17$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.815851.7%30 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7662…7930backed Over47c421.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over54c407.39$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9941742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18440243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18859144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over30c394.91$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.383,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed Under49c391.65$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.743444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.379458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over48c313$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2440648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over49c277.68$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8353043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdf6…773bbacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b7a…3accbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018825%47 W · 141 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011327.4%31 W · 82 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over24c166$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.958,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under52c164.49$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8352246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf939…2e92backed Over30c125.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.533040%12 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f1…0f6bbacked Under48c122$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.442962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over46c104.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6968940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd08…ee64backed Under70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c25…5410backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1428…017cbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…c789backed Over47c95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73b7…35b6backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9135844.1%158 W · 200 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under48c77.91$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.513,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Under48c75.94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.499046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad0a…7898backed Over47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.571566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+41.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c55.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.642,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under50c42.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.111,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under53c42.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2014634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x362d…dc94backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.841,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d22…95b7backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.674951%25 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33c…6006backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc7c…666cbacked Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.68045%36 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over47c39.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.833949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7437344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x345c…e4debacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under54c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1871245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8212…2b8bbacked Under55c31.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.331070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d1…3a4abacked Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d19…e2fdbacked Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.45961%36 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c22.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.661,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Over47c21.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4216658.4%97 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6385…e191backed Under50c20.49$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49bb…4d4cbacked Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.47248.6%35 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.