TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,870 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics54c20,752$11,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,545.987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1491…919bbacked Kings46c15,217$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e31…9dcabacked Kings47c7,900$3,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7132454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7258…b1dbbacked Celtics53c7,900$4,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7132152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd499…c6b7backed Celtics53c7,800$4,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6662040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67f6…00f6backed Kings47c7,800$3,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6662462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf95…3114backed Celtics53c7,700$4,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6192142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1912…686cbacked Kings47c7,700$3,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6192147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e9…80a8backed Celtics53c7,600$4,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5722356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc898…e5b3backed Kings47c7,600$3,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5722759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85b9…540abacked Kings46c6,654$3,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0611181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+59%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5802,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Celtics56c4,464$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.2976746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Celtics74c3,344$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.5548347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c2…259dbacked Celtics57c3,333$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.199458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Celtics32c3,016$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.8611653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…1a5dbacked Kings47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4103636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Celtics53c2,999$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.896767.2%45 W · 22 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings44c2,791$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Celtics52c2,790$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.0925753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Celtics52c2,399$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.7127735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings60c2,388$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Celtics52c2,188$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.2411243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics46c1,908$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.164,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Kings54c1,853$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002330.4%7 W · 16 L-6.1wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-49.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Kings56c1,536$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.4573649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65de…9846backed Kings58c1,132$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.481050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Celtics55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed Celtics56c825.88$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.384158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Celtics55c699.99$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3129162.6%57 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics57c690$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.76,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics44c579.45$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.083,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtics44c439.64$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.22,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Celtics56c428.57$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Celtics55c399.97$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9923058.7%135 W · 95 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Kings43c376.98$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.11,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics34c353$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.693,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a6…6fa0backed Celtics57c352.81$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.985356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Kings68c297.38$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Kings44c293.17$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.582,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Kings45c288.87$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13036649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Celtics52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4622953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Kings44c265.67$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8951146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Celtics56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Celtics70c239$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.950347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Kings46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Kings48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bae…7e8cbacked Celtics55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Celtics53c194.09$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2243543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40b…175fbacked Celtics56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Kings58c172.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063142%265 W · 366 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5912…2fe0backed Celtics58c171.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.241957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…d8c0backed Kings56c157.2$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.155139.2%20 W · 31 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Kings44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Celtics54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6912054.2%65 W · 55 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Celtics55c130$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.570153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Celtics46c125.09$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.551,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Kings44c106.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8276247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Celtics64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3691050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Celtics55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4562848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Celtics59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4161253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Kings54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5449938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ba…d1c2backed Celtics56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Celtics57c96.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4929156.4%164 W · 127 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Celtics45c95.93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.931,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Kings41c94.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7780744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Kings54c91.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.943548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Celtics55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9161056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Celtics44c90.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.553,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Celtics49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.99358.1%54 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Celtics56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2915657.7%90 W · 66 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Celtics54c86.28$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.636756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f20…eaf6backed Kings44c85.45$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388543.5%37 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Kings27c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.69943.4%43 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings43c77.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.214,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Celtics45c75.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4288845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Celtics56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.432,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Celtics56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4317349.1%85 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Celtics57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.111143.2%48 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Celtics55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.519254.7%105 W · 87 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…592bbacked Celtics56c67.86$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.868556.5%48 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ff…4085backed Celtics56c59.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.282458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Celtics52c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.541,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Celtics55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Celtics56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5756454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kings44c50.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.361,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Kings64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3234425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c1…b554backed Celtics36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+27.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafbd…432dbacked Kings54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2719258.3%112 W · 80 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x552e…a856backed Celtics50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254650%23 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed Kings46c49.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.994751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Celtics45c42.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.029430.9%29 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed Celtics57c41.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.017251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Kings48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021849.5%108 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Celtics55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1814953%79 W · 70 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0a…7d46backed Celtics54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Celtics55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3640853.7%219 W · 189 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Celtics55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3624248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f2…625bbacked Celtics55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Celtics52c31.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3612648.4%61 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.