NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cef2665eb9ade81fa5c783b0f0011e28891012053ebc79758ea73a4860e9510
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 6,938$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Under | 53c | 4,512$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.64 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Over | 53c | 2,099$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 52c | 1,915$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.67 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over | 50c | 989.92$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.96 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596b…6c22backed Over | 48c | 745$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…c245backed Under | 53c | 745$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…6351backed Under | 53c | 735$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd791…2eadbacked Over | 48c | 735$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 734$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 701.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 25c | 450$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca2…d740backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 371$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Under | 51c | 347.78$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.41 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 51c | 314.61$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.45 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 75c | 290$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 206.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 144.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…8defbacked Under | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.6wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 24c | 103.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…2ee5backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…de9dbacked Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Under | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 28c | 93.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Under | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 49c | 76.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Under | 49c | 63.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…09bbbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 41.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…555dbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 51c | 35.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Over | 62c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Under | 49c | 25.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…0ac3backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Kings: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Kings won
- Celtics vs. KingsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Kings: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.