NBA · resolved market
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x474efc42fd4cb5de55f0548fcff41c185c913479005d9b76518dced33f12150f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Mavericks, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz | 58c | 12,439$7,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,224.19 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz | 57c | 8,808$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,808.08 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks | 42c | 6,458$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.88 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 39c | 3,522$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 42c | 3,219$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Jazz | 65c | 1,385$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.85 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 36c | 1,149$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 42c | 1,027$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.34 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Jazz | 59c | 1,001$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.41 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mavericks | 42c | 833$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mavericks | 41c | 750$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Mavericks | 46c | 620$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.2 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Jazz | 64c | 360$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Mavericks | 4c | 272.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Jazz | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a0…42a3backed Jazz | 57c | 153$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Jazz | 54c | 149.42$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Mavericks | 41c | 130.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Jazz | 57c | 108$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…a856backed Jazz | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Mavericks | 38c | 89.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Jazz | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Jazz | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Jazz | 65c | 76.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Mavericks | 45c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Jazz | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Jazz | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Jazz | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mavericks | 43c | 52.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Jazz | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Jazz | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Jazz | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Mavericks | 41c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Jazz | 57c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Mavericks | 42c | 45.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Jazz | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Jazz | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Mavericks | 31c | 42.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Mavericks | 47c | 40.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Mavericks | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Mavericks | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jazz | 56c | 35.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Mavericks | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf2…5803backed Jazz | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Mavericks | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Jazz | 57c | 29.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb771…e3fbbacked Mavericks | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Mavericks | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…2c40backed Jazz | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 39cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Jazz | 63c | 17.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29b…6012backed Jazz | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)this page
- Mavericks vs. JazzJazz won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Under won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.