NBA · resolved market

Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ee2624b8edfcb5e56bee04db8098910f11d90c1b92656d438e19808101b36a7

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Jazzof Mavericks, Jazz
Resolved: Jan 9, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $561,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $562,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $561,459 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz	53c	466,516$247,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219,266.79	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Mavericks	47c	250,000$117,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117,500	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks	47c	199,517$93,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93,773.08	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Mavericks	48c	30,000$14,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,400	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz	53c	15,617$8,342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,275.39	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Mavericks	47c	14,000$6,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,580	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Jazz	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Mavericks	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,900	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	53c	9,884$5,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,661.81	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz	50c	8,329$4,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,188.86	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Jazz	52c	6,525$3,393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,131.76	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,059.98	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Jazz	52c	4,808$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,307.69	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks	50c	4,469$2,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,234.63	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz	57c	4,404$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,904.24	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Jazz	54c	3,730$2,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,715.79	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Mavericks	45c	2,500$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125	228	45.2%103 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks	47c	2,300$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks	42c	2,205$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930.14	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks	44c	2,176$953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952.83	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Jazz	47c	2,039$958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080.5	282	41.1%116 W · 166 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Mavericks	49c	1,627$797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.35	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Mavericks	46c	1,522$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.12	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Jazz	51c	1,471$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.59	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Jazz	50c	1,125$562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.43	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Jazz	49c	1,020$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.41	157	56.7%89 W · 68 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Jazz	49c	1,020$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.41	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Mavericks	48c	721.22$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.53	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Mavericks	47c	709.85$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.6	191	47.1%90 W · 101 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Jazz	54c	500$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Mavericks	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Mavericks	51c	487.19$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	140	54.3%76 W · 64 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9087…d582backed Mavericks	48c	362.36$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.14	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Mavericks	44c	351.31$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.58	753	47.5%358 W · 395 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…ee32backed Mavericks	50c	350$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Jazz	57c	343$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.49	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Mavericks	48c	279.39$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.71	244	54.1%132 W · 112 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Mavericks	50c	245.39$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.06	146	47.9%70 W · 76 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5629…dcefbacked Mavericks	46c	218.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Mavericks	48c	211.12$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.34	180	51.1%92 W · 88 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Mavericks	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	118	40.7%48 W · 70 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed20…84f1backed Mavericks	49c	200$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	126	35.7%45 W · 81 L	-8.7wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Mavericks	52c	153.85$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Jazz	56c	150$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	110	44.5%49 W · 61 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae4…a127backed Jazz	51c	137.25$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.25	110	41.8%46 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks	50c	136.24$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.12	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…9cc5backed Mavericks	51c	121.96$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Mavericks	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	334	42.8%143 W · 191 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Jazz	51c	110$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.9	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Jazz	52c	109$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.3	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Mavericks	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	319	54.5%174 W · 145 L	+10.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Jazz	58c	103.45$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.45	94	58.5%55 W · 39 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf91e…fd88backed Mavericks	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Jazz	71c	91.08$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.08	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Jazz	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Jazz	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd96…2924backed Jazz	45c	88.89$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.89	176	56.3%99 W · 77 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Mavericks	50c	86.1$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.05	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz	49c	86.09$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.91	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks	47c	85.39$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.44	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Mavericks	47c	84$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.48	623	49.6%309 W · 314 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Mavericks	47c	84$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.48	717	47.6%341 W · 376 L	+18.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Mavericks	47c	84$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.48	317	54.6%173 W · 144 L	+16.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Mavericks	49c	82.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.32	231	53.2%123 W · 108 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Mavericks	43c	80$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.4	174	47.7%83 W · 91 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mavericks	47c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	1,028	48.5%499 W · 529 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Jazz	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	157	52.2%82 W · 75 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Mavericks	45c	78.38$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.27	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Mavericks	53c	70$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.1	661	43.4%287 W · 374 L	-32.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5edc…b712backed Mavericks	53c	69$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed Mavericks	45c	66.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	100	58%58 W · 42 L	+5.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Mavericks	47c	66$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.02	340	53.8%183 W · 157 L	+16.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Mavericks	47c	66$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.02	342	54.1%185 W · 157 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Mavericks	46c	63.04$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	282	51.8%146 W · 136 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Mavericks	47c	60$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-6.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Mavericks	47c	60$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	734	45.5%334 W · 400 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Mavericks	47c	60$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	331	47.4%157 W · 174 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e96…e9f8backed Mavericks	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Mavericks	54c	55.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d90…cf08backed Jazz	56c	53.57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	199	40.7%81 W · 118 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b4f…4151backed Mavericks	28c	52.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1937…d878backed Jazz	54c	51.95$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.95	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-25%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Jazz	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x207b…df20backed Mavericks	49c	45.23$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.16	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab7…180ebacked Mavericks	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz	48c	43.32$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.53	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Mavericks	47c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	288	52.8%152 W · 136 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Jazz	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	136	51.5%70 W · 66 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8398…749abacked Jazz	49c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b30…a315backed Mavericks	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Mavericks	47c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	315	51.1%161 W · 154 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Mavericks	46c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Mavericks	52c	38.19$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.81	192	42.7%82 W · 110 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Mavericks	47c	38$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.86	204	56.4%115 W · 89 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Mavericks	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Mavericks	47c	36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	366	51.4%188 W · 178 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Mavericks	47c	36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	150	51.3%77 W · 73 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mavericks	47c	36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	876	47.5%416 W · 460 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Jazz	51c	35.29$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.29	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Mavericks	45c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.63	591	41.8%247 W · 344 L	-26.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)this page
Mavericks vs. JazzJazz won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Under won
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Jazz won
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Jazz won
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)Jazz won
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)Jazz won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event