TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Mavericks, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz54c7,051$3,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,243.461,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks46c5,512$2,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,535.523,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Jazz51c2,727$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.9628241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz57c1,331$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Mavericks8c1,155$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4439018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks46c1,011$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.065,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz60c861$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.46,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Mavericks46c811.19$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.6919242.7%82 W · 110 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Mavericks33c665.04$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.4359141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz67c634.72$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks48c627$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.962,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Mavericks12c503.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.521,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks46c399.56$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.82,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks9c298.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.822,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Mavericks40c289$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.61,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe28f…be21backed Mavericks36c274.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Jazz60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz53c245.75$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.932,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Jazz69c227.85$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2863745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Jazz60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6714254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks46c116$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.363,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Mavericks47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4789050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Mavericks43c91.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.551,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Mavericks42c84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2862349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Mavericks42c84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2871747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Mavericks42c84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2831754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Mavericks44c84$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9623153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Jazz52c81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.886839.7%27 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mavericks42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Mavericks42c79.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.12,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Jazz51c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7544648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks46c70.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.372,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Mavericks42c66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7234053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Mavericks42c66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7234254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Mavericks42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.27142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Mavericks42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.273445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Mavericks42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.233147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Jazz55c57.8$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0488845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Jazz50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257450%37 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12af…6124backed Jazz60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.676556.9%37 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Mavericks42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.828852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8398…749abacked Mavericks47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Mavericks42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.831551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Mavericks42c38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9620456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Mavericks42c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1236651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Mavericks42c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1215051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mavericks42c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1287647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Mavericks42c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2823753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Mavericks42c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2827350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Mavericks42c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2822048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Mavericks42c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2832649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Mavericks42c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2823850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Mavericks42c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2827251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Mavericks42c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2831852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jazz61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Mavericks42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.625250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Mavericks42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.627353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Mavericks42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.627150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Mavericks48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.442146.1%194 W · 227 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Mavericks47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1468940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Jazz52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8524253.3%129 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78b2…dd6dbacked Jazz55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.273357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Jazz54c25.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9359948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x207b…df20backed Mavericks44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Mavericks42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0824552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Mavericks42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0814648.6%71 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Mavericks42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0845251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Mavericks42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0815352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Mavericks42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0815854.4%86 W · 72 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Mavericks42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0847948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Mavericks42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0815953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Mavericks42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0826648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Mavericks42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0825150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Mavericks48c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.524047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Mavericks45c22.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.022,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Jazz52c20.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9823047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz71c17.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.