NBA · resolved market

Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c065015f911128fdaadc2ada12ca94e19849c04b586d6e92c334c7e66447344

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Jazzof Mavericks, Jazz
Resolved: Jan 9, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $156,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $156,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,046 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Mavericks	54c	60,000$32,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,399.99	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f4…544cbacked Mavericks	50c	50,967$25,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,483.58	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-11.0wins	-0.28per pick	49cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz	49c	44,870$21,813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,057.29	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Jazz	46c	36,087$16,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,486.95	132	48.5%64 W · 68 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jazz	50c	11,034$5,516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,517.58	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz	46c	8,167$3,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,402.41	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	48c	6,858$3,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,545.99	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz	46c	5,527$2,542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,984.36	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz	47c	4,673$2,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,470.43	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Jazz	52c	4,166$2,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,999.64	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Mavericks	53c	3,370$1,769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,769.37	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Mavericks	55c	1,614$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz	50c	1,573$787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$786.29	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Mavericks	54c	1,530$831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.62	206	51%105 W · 101 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks	54c	1,238$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.3	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks	48c	1,222$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.91	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Mavericks	49c	1,018$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.92	337	35.3%119 W · 218 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf512…40e3backed Jazz	51c	1,016$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$498.08	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Jazz	46c	1,000$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc5…b639backed Mavericks	49c	800$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-29%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Jazz	53c	704$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.88	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Jazz	52c	650$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Mavericks	54c	646.26$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.05	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Jazz	52c	638.46$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.46	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Jazz	46c	590.27$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.15	203	53.7%109 W · 94 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Mavericks	47c	566$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.02	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Jazz	62c	561.67$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.37	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Mavericks	55c	545.45$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Mavericks	55c	416.36$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d5…7153backed Mavericks	49c	397.96$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Mavericks	55c	300$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Jazz	43c	233.18$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.18	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Jazz	46c	230.13$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.21	397	56.7%225 W · 172 L	+21.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Jazz	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Mavericks	48c	200$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	186	56.5%105 W · 81 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Jazz	54c	190.13$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.58	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Mavericks	55c	181.97$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.08	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…fd88backed Mavericks	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Jazz	46c	177.41$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.6	509	48.5%247 W · 262 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Jazz	58c	173.12$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.12	250	56.8%142 W · 108 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Mavericks	49c	141.11$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.59	591	41.8%247 W · 344 L	-26.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz	49c	138.84$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.7	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jazz	53c	134$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.98	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks	46c	128.33$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.03	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Jazz	38c	125$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.5	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b2…089abacked Jazz	46c	108.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.7	93	40.9%38 W · 55 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-19%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34da…ac26backed Jazz	49c	105$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.65	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz	51c	104$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.96	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Jazz	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Jazz	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Mavericks	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	514	51.9%267 W · 247 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.58	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks	53c	95.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.35	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Mavericks	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Mavericks	55c	90.18$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Mavericks	50c	84$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	623	49.6%309 W · 314 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Mavericks	50c	84$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	717	47.6%341 W · 376 L	+18.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Mavericks	50c	84$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	317	54.6%173 W · 144 L	+16.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Mavericks	51c	84$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.84	231	53.2%123 W · 108 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9087…d582backed Jazz	47c	83.68$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.35	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Mavericks	55c	81.82$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	169	45.6%77 W · 92 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Jazz	53c	81.75$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.42	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Jazz	44c	81.23$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.49	282	41.1%116 W · 166 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mavericks	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1,028	48.5%499 W · 529 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Mavericks	55c	71.12$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.24	192	42.7%82 W · 110 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Mavericks	54c	70$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.8	412	51%210 W · 202 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Jazz	46c	69$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.15	127	27.6%35 W · 92 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Mavericks	50c	66$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	340	53.8%183 W · 157 L	+16.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Mavericks	50c	66$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	342	54.1%185 W · 157 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Jazz	51c	63.57$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.92	135	36.3%49 W · 86 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Mavericks	49c	61.61$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.19	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0548…9e1cbacked Mavericks	33c	61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.13	66	56.1%37 W · 29 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Mavericks	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-6.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Mavericks	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	734	45.5%334 W · 400 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Mavericks	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	331	47.4%157 W · 174 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48f4…2750backed Jazz	46c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.15	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+84.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b79…5d91backed Mavericks	55c	57.26$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.49	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Jazz	44c	55$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.8	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Jazz	48c	54.37$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.03	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Jazz	46c	54.35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.35	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Jazz	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Mavericks	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-21.7wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Jazz	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	564	54.3%306 W · 258 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfdb…512cbacked Jazz	47c	44.67$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.68	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Jazz	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	154	40.3%62 W · 92 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb02d…c0bbbacked Mavericks	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	115	49.6%57 W · 58 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Mavericks	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	288	52.8%152 W · 136 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8398…749abacked Mavericks	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Mavericks	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	315	51.1%161 W · 154 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Mavericks	47c	38.4$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Mavericks	50c	38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	204	56.4%115 W · 89 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x239b…bd0bbacked Mavericks	55c	36.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-6.4wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Mavericks	50c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	366	51.4%188 W · 178 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Mavericks	50c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	150	51.3%77 W · 73 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mavericks	50c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	876	47.5%416 W · 460 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1937…d878backed Jazz	55c	35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.7	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-25%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Mavericks	50c	34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	237	53.6%127 W · 110 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Mavericks	50c	34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	273	50.9%139 W · 134 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Mavericks	50c	34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	220	48.6%107 W · 113 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Mavericks	50c	34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	326	49.7%162 W · 164 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)this page
Mavericks vs. JazzJazz won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Under won
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Jazz won
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)Jazz won
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)Jazz won
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)Jazz won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event