NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf823ae2bf49aa08e6910b587033f9f1a1bb8517899888c10a7c46449626642de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc782…70eabacked Under | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7258…b1dbbacked Over | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 8,110$4,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,416.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 3,370$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.65 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 729$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 58c | 521$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.97 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 373$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 44c | 279.05$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.26 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 45c | 160$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 138$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Over | 53c | 135$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 43c | 121.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 118.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Over | 55c | 112$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 48c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 48c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 48c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Over | 53c | 82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 48c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 48c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 40c | 59.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 59c | 56.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 45c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Under | 45c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 41c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 45.4%144 W · 173 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Under | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 43c | 34.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 41c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 41c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Under | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Under | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Under | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Over | 58c | 19.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5this page
- Mavericks vs. JazzJazz won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Under won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.