NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9880f1c4be7fa4e505dc71cc18b560a348ed3641d6d5d810e7be2c73ee2c6e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 40c | 127,522$50,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,549.7 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 60c | 103,423$62,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,053.91 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 60c | 13,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Over | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 60c | 3,601$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.36 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 60c | 2,621$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 1,879$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 51c | 1,552$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.44 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 1,272$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.37 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 1,016$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.52 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…d209backed Under | 49c | 780.85$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 38c | 708.33$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.25 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Under | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 61c | 503$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.94 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 61c | 353.48$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.94 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…2e16backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 40c | 200.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.17 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…6817backed Under | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 84 | 26.2%22 W · 62 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Over | 60c | 199.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 38c | 199.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.92 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f8…d47abacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Under | 37c | 163.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 62c | 162.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Under | 36c | 160.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +73%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 39c | 149.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 58c | 132.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 39c | 132.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 61c | 123.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Over | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Over | 63c | 111.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 61c | 105.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…217bbacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Over | 64c | 93.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Over | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Over | 58c | 76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 37c | 71.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Over | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 62c | 52.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Over | 58c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 37c | 43.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…180ebacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 31.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638e…2a7dbacked Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 61cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…3ab5backed Over | 62c | 28.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 59c | 20.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…95bfbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5this page
- Mavericks vs. JazzJazz won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Under won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.