NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9acf40a0a1e63e56f15b4314d356354a3e7d3e03f8357bb0f90e5745bbaa35c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 14,996$7,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,223.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Under | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 4,530$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.47 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Under | 47c | 4,011$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.64 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 2,734$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.11 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Over | 53c | 2,724$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.6 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 1,690$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.3 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.95 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 857$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.42 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 49c | 673.47$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.47 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 52c | 578.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.85 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 519.23$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.97 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…2f43backed Under | 55c | 274.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…3f90backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 45c | 159.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 147.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Under | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 51c | 132.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 115.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…4282backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 48c | 94.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcecc…affebacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 92.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 46c | 51.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 56c | 46.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0548…9e1cbacked Over | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 52c | 40.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 40.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49d…d5a8backed Under | 51c | 38.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Under | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5this page
- Mavericks vs. JazzJazz won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Under won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.