TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$773,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$794,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $773,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c340,285$173,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173,082.5187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under49c182,066$89,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,847.626253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under49c100,000$49,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,00024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c76,075$38,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,908.972,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under49c50,000$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,50013248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under49c30,000$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,30051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0352…3292backed Over49c19,118$9,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,454.6410158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c17,927$8,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,914.199,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72e6…bc6dbacked Under52c13,302$6,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,424.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+46.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00017250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Under47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,300742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c9,697$4,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,839.563,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under49c7,390$3,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,791.1324554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06017348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Over51c5,686$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c5,673$2,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,847.642,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over47c5,318$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Over48c5,282$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,555.32552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4504050%20 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Over52c4,500$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3401,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4940…05cbbacked Under48c4,472$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.441136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under51c4,187$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.7348054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Under47c4,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1105050%25 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.9922845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over53c3,796$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Over55c3,325$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.923747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under53c2,840$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.771,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under52c2,840$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.7134654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c2,673$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.574,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Under48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.9911753%62 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under50c2,333$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.472,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under54c2,022$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.7191050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Under49c2,020$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.413943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04020355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00010541%43 W · 62 L-11.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98036248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under48c2,000$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0358742.5%37 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76541553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Under49c1,449$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73917744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under50c1,285$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Under49c1,224$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.4935438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x681d…08aabacked Under55c1,100$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4955052%26 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Over50c1,070$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53520651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over52c1,043$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54250754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Over51c1,020$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.218345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49061740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5105450%27 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50013959.7%83 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c999$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.495,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under52c950$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.51,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over53c948.87$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under50c940$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47049938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over55c821$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.5585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under49c816.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.7213563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Under50c760$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3802165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under52c750$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Under49c744.76$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.8322646.9%106 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over51c716.24$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.282,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c714$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.142,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over50c702$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35192753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under48c655.41$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.8113464.2%86 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Under51c648.68$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6814742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over44c624.99$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.2580744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c601.04$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.524,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30622846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcaf…9343backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002646.2%12 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Under52c577.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.2113354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c5…e372backed Under50c550$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over47c531$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5720741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Under51c509.8$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.84153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Under51c509$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.4110270.6%72 W · 30 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under52c500$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23932846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c469.06$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under49c456$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.5632952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under51c450$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.559144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Under46c430.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.438041.3%33 W · 47 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Under51c416$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2048970.8%63 W · 26 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1448…eda1backed Over53c409.05$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.164942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under52c404.13$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.134047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6921…2345backed Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20417041.8%71 W · 99 L-12.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1615543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.162944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed Under51c380$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.23444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under50c337.03$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.4724454.1%132 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38b…e07abacked Under51c313.73$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.73825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08cf…f0ccbacked Under48c308.19$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.771643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff0…91fcbacked Under52c303.85$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.854153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15016852.4%88 W · 80 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over50c295.38$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6933150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under50c281.3$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.651,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under49c261.22$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2225452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under50c228.59$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.982,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7714150.4%71 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under49c210$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.57754.5%42 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over49c205.79$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6316036.3%58 W · 102 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.