AI · resolved market
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7e9d47057b3ff451868b0ee2dcadbf2a9bbcdbd6a3bb1abc078b16f59289c80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6590…3a26backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 3c | 8,566$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.24 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 8,086$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.22 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3974…18a3backed No | 24c | 7,718$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.07 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…21b3backed No | 4c | 6,329$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 4,182$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…2a2fbacked No | 9c | 2,300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 3c | 2,200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 6c | 2,187$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.08 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…04d8backed No | 1c | 1,711$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…78bdbacked No | 60c | 1,670$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2245…d89abacked No | 62c | 1,653$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…75ddbacked Yes | 38c | 1,629$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…f4c4backed No | 6c | 1,500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 3c | 1,221$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 11c | 1,132$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 17c | 1,071$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.34 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…814dbacked No | 2c | 1,050$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5584…6e2abacked No | 2c | 999.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 20c | 965.51$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.01 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…070dbacked Yes | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed Yes | 39c | 892.32$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.88 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf31…4837backed No | 2c | 837.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…717ebacked No | 4c | 833.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 50c | 825.51$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.94 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…7d33backed No | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…3ed5backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…27eabacked Yes | 47c | 499.97$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d5…d45abacked No | 24c | 374.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 34c | 277.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…e17ebacked Yes | 67c | 223.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed No | 23c | 221.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 15c | 211.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…778cbacked Yes | 40c | 211.22$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.73 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…7695backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 43c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.54 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 27c | 199.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…6622backed Yes | 52c | 176$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 12c | 173.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…dfadbacked Yes | 70c | 171.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…d1e1backed Yes | 75c | 162.72$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…77febacked No | 48c | 147$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Yes | 51c | 141.66$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1f…7b0bbacked Yes | 77c | 131.01$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9df…8517backed Yes | 79c | 125.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes | 68c | 119.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 34c | 117.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…0430backed No | 46c | 113$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ba…76d1backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…3e11backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 23c | 96.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 33c | 89.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 27c | 83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…93fcbacked Yes | 80c | 79.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 72c | 78.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…9f2abacked No | 17c | 75.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…bce9backed Yes | 70c | 71.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…66edbacked Yes | 46c | 69.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875d…25cfbacked No | 32c | 69.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860f…0a33backed Yes | 60c | 66.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x856c…7e2ebacked Yes | 79c | 63.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 28c | 58.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…fb83backed Yes | 53c | 56.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…15e0backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4d…905abacked Yes | 45c | 49.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb927…1c55backed Yes | 45c | 44.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed Yes | 53c | 39.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…6314backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…7b39backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…32a9backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…2c5ebacked Yes | 47c | 33.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea9…741bbacked Yes | 73c | 27.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22df…ed56backed Yes | 77c | 25.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…2f62backed Yes | 78c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d7…8c77backed Yes | 78c | 25.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 68c | 21.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52df…ab55backed Yes | 76c | 21.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…a7c8backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ad…3581backed No | 63c | 18.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?this page
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
- Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.