Champions League · resolved market
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea5f7a26d5acae9cb995edc608fdf7d9197c6f018fc7a6984839171145f91517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 71c | 8,402$5,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.53 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 4,593$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.36 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 21c | 4,013$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.09 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Under | 68c | 2,052$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.18 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 32c | 866.18$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.76 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 23c | 648.36$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.01 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 9c | 512$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 34c | 508.56$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.46 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Over | 32c | 393.24$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 29c | 375.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 68c | 237.87$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 29c | 184.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 34c | 176.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 32c | 157.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Over | 22c | 141.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 74c | 118.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…d1e1backed Under | 77c | 117.21$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Over | 34c | 78.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 37c | 70.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb11c…db67backed Over | 46c | 65.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 68c | 55.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…53a1backed Under | 78c | 48.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 33c | 46.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 54c | 36.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Under | 54c | 36.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 5.5this page
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: ETO FC O/U 1.5Over won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: ETO FC O/U 2.5Under won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: KF Víkingur O/U 1.5Over won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 0.5Over won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 1.5Over won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 2.5Over won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 3.5Over won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ETO FC (-1.5)KF Víkingur won
- Spread: ETO FC (-2.5)KF Víkingur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.