ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x491e03b04660add0930ab8608a942c6e8a6591c73e4e630274b5b349a2cff82e

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $45,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,095 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	44c	3,838$1,677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,161.62	1,959	44.1%863 W · 1,096 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Under	39c	3,808$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,308.21	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over	63c	3,688$2,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,310.64	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under	78c	2,495$1,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.42	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	65cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	61c	2,392$1,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,455.41	426	47.9%204 W · 222 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	46c	1,959$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.88	450	42%189 W · 261 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under	65c	1,927$1,257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$669.46	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	24c	1,721$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,306.95	120	39.2%47 W · 73 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc508…f6b5backed Under	71c	1,536$1,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.38	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	26c	1,531$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,132.28	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+7.3wins	+0.13per pick	38cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under	55c	1,494$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675.71	62	67.7%42 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under	53c	1,450$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$684.89	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.6wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+60.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over	23c	1,035$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.4	96	43.8%42 W · 54 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	71c	1,007$712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.73	173	48%83 W · 90 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under	49c	993.37$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.52	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	67c	984.62$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656.43	994	35%348 W · 646 L	-10.9wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	74c	650.26$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.75	179	36.9%66 W · 113 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd273…17eabacked Over	24c	590.23$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.66	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over	55c	535.2$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.36	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+4.0wins	+0.27per pick	40cpaid	+177.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Over	75c	530$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	79c	512$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.08	286	51%146 W · 140 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over	62c	485.18$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.98	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	76c	380.83$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.4	142	49.3%70 W · 72 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under	6c	372.08$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.38	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	48c	358.08$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.7	704	35.8%252 W · 452 L	-27.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	22c	351.26$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.5	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under	42c	300$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd0e…cdf0backed Over	38c	300$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.9	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	+88.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd684…7e92backed Over	37c	300$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under	48c	300$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	67c	298.51$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	122	54.9%67 W · 55 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Over	55c	291.38$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.26	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	52c	282.92$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.86	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over	73c	270.13$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.55	358	60.6%217 W · 141 L	+21.4wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under	76c	263.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.15	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under	73c	241.04$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.06	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	44c	235.3$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.45	362	48.6%176 W · 186 L	+17.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	45c	220.13$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.1	308	56.8%175 W · 133 L	+11.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	59c	215.16$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.3	591	36.5%216 W · 375 L	-30.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	32c	213.49$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.56	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-7.9wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	66c	194.96$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.41	881	37.7%332 W · 549 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under	55c	186.12$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.29	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	55cpaid	+48.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Under	39c	163.92$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.99	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa739…19c8backed Over	54c	161.11$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over	47c	142$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.4	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x834c…593abacked Over	26c	136.9$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over	48c	122.46$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.14	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	43c	114.84$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.9	120	44.2%53 W · 67 L	-9.6wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under	47c	112.17$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.45	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+4.9wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under	45c	112.06$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.44	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Under	31c	111.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.5	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-22%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	42c	110$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.67	146	45.9%67 W · 79 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over	52c	106.87$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.57	58	31%18 W · 40 L	-6.3wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under	39c	105$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.21	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	54c	103.62$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.89	100	51%51 W · 49 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Under	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf61…1e34backed Under	41c	84.93$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.1	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+4.6wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xffc5…67a5backed Over	40c	84.36$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over	75c	74.76$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.31	122	69.7%85 W · 37 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	68cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under	72c	69.51$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.51	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under	62c	67.2$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.54	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-6.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	21c	63.29$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.29	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over	52c	62.13$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.31	71	63.4%45 W · 26 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over	59c	52.14$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.76	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over	33c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-2.7wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under	77c	45$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.35	147	42.9%63 W · 84 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Over	73c	37$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.01	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Under	54c	36.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.4	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under	56c	33.95$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.94	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over	59c	33.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+34%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	40c	33.07$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.14	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	-5.9wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	41c	32.12$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	154	42.9%66 W · 88 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0255…4eb0backed Over	63c	31.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under	50c	31.17$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.62	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Under	72c	27.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-3.7wins	-0.18per pick	41cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff06…c7d5backed Over	75c	26.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e31…d5fdbacked Under	79c	25.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	73cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb651…b4f7backed Over	68c	23.05$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over	47c	22.7$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.76	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under	74c	20.38$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.38	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+86.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	75c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	313	42.5%133 W · 180 L	-15.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 4.5this page
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: ETO FC O/U 1.5Over won
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: ETO FC O/U 2.5Under won
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: KF Víkingur O/U 1.5Over won
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 0.5Over won
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 1.5Over won
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 2.5Over won
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 3.5Over won
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: ETO FC (-1.5)KF Víkingur won
Spread: ETO FC (-2.5)KF Víkingur won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event