TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,426 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,575$36 inLost-$35.75446.8%3 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-75.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Under20c3,000$600 inLost-$6005529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Under1c3,000$30 inLost-$30540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over34c2,712$923 inWon+$1,789.346741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under2c2,202$38 inLost-$37.612039.2%47 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under17c1,770$308 inLost-$307.716048.3%29 W · 31 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over79c1,496$1,182 inWon+$314.1818736.4%68 W · 119 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c863.59$509 inLost-$508.671,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over36c505.34$183 inWon+$322.237236.1%26 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over76c484.79$366 inWon+$118.391,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Over36c150$54 inWon+$96933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under19c139$26 inLost-$26.412642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Under17c117.64$20 inLost-$203026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over39c101$40 inWon+$61.1124340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under71c83.99$60 inLost-$59.7330856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under65c68.93$45 inLost-$44.9572335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under60c65.47$39 inLost-$39.285143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under62c64.76$40 inLost-$40728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-54.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x653b…685ebacked Under63c63.09$40 inLost-$401266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over38c49.74$19 inWon+$30.8438142.8%163 W · 218 L-22.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under27c42.32$11 inLost-$11.444740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb11c…db67backed Over37c40.54$15 inWon+$25.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under62c37.7$23 inLost-$23.3288631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under61c31.15$19 inLost-$1921443.9%94 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0f…9915backed Under80c12.5$10 inLost-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.