Champions League · resolved market
ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6483fac6eb18a68f91cf3ec0e933eb658e7cc3bee5bba3a7b510680df6ffc574
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 18c | 3,042$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.97 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 2,130$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.83 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Under | 55c | 1,834$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 20c | 1,249$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.23 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 37c | 1,057$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.03 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed Under | 41c | 1,030$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 80c | 687.83$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 44c | 400.06$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.79 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 60c | 256$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 53c | 199.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Under | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Under | 56c | 179.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 46c | 171.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23f…6c8abacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 63c | 57.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11c…db67backed Over | 53c | 56.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 62c | 49.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -22.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 60c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 40c | 44.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 63c | 42.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 65c | 34.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…56a9backed Over | 69c | 32.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 61c | 31.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 2.5this page
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: ETO FC O/U 1.5Over won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: ETO FC O/U 2.5Under won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: KF Víkingur O/U 1.5Over won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 0.5Over won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 1.5Over won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 3.5Over won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 4.5Under won
- ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: ETO FC (-1.5)KF Víkingur won
- Spread: ETO FC (-2.5)KF Víkingur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.