Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Trailer Park Boys (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x189b3d39c6bf8ac6cfb9c970c9e737d8055b84b48f6fd00380fc167cc3696819
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, Trailer Park Boys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 7,299$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.14 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Trailer Park Boys | 39c | 3,569$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.84 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Trailer Park Boys | 50c | 2,012$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Trailer Park Boys | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 1,279$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.86 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Trailer Park Boys | 19c | 851.88$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Trailer Park Boys | 5c | 837.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Trailer Park Boys | 14c | 727.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trailer Park Boys | 42c | 707.01$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.04 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…79a0backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 703.36$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Trailer Park Boys | 44c | 650.36$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.16 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 626.04$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.14 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Trailer Park Boys | 60c | 510.76$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…a1e5backed Trailer Park Boys | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Trailer Park Boys | 14c | 379.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 350.51$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.74 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Trailer Park Boys | 57c | 247.83$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Trailer Park Boys | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Trailer Park Boys | 51c | 197.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Trailer Park Boys | 25c | 166.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Trailer Park Boys | 11c | 166.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…3224backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Trailer Park Boys | 28c | 156.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Trailer Park Boys | 38c | 152.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 140.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 135.48$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Team Nemesis | 76c | 131.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trailer Park Boys | 32c | 124.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Trailer Park Boys | 42c | 121.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…44f2backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 118.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trailer Park Boys | 23c | 110.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 110$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Trailer Park Boys | 37c | 109.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed Trailer Park Boys | 34c | 106.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Trailer Park Boys | 39c | 92.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 75.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Trailer Park Boys | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Trailer Park Boys | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea7…df43backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…bf70backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 35.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Trailer Park Boys | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb49…5fbdbacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09cf…e8f8backed Trailer Park Boys | 33c | 30.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Trailer Park Boys | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Team Nemesis | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…d1e1backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…53eabacked Team Nemesis | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Trailer Park Boys | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x780c…6920backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 17.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…bbb2backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Trailer Park Boys (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Trailer Park Boys - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Trailer Park Boys - Game 2 WinnerTrailer Park Boys won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.