Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf29206e094291d7886156a5be3f29e0a078e324f20e5c9ed930d540bdc713bad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $424,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $432,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $424,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed No | 0c | 50,733$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…e986backed No | 46c | 28,365$13,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,047.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b7…5400backed Yes | 54c | 28,365$15,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,047.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed No | 3c | 12,379$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f27ebacked No | 5c | 10,880$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c0…81d6backed No | 0c | 10,121$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 8,793$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 67c | 5,820$3,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.75 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 48c | 4,773$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.87 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c17…83c8backed No | 54c | 4,629$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 24c | 4,403$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.3 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 63c | 4,354$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.15 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 72c | 3,426$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.09 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…d45fbacked No | 30c | 3,323$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.13 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 46c | 3,299$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed No | 64c | 3,168$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.8 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 47c | 2,903$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.28 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 11c | 2,756$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.17 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 33c | 2,692$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.97 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 23c | 2,534$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.01 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 60c | 2,474$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.85 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 42c | 2,379$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.27 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed No | 1c | 2,310$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed No | 1c | 2,101$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…2783backed No | 45c | 1,966$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 36c | 1,959$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.08 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked No | 70c | 1,949$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…c680backed Yes | 62c | 1,772$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 20c | 1,651$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.17 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 43c | 1,586$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.41 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,557$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…2b5cbacked No | 7c | 1,550$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…cc73backed Yes | 66c | 1,524$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…8b69backed No | 7c | 1,513$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 62c | 1,438$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.77 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 1,402$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.86 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 40c | 1,342$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.29 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked No | 67c | 1,329$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.81 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 76c | 1,278$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.3 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 47c | 1,245$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.42 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 49c | 1,164$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.29 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ce…97abbacked No | 4c | 1,159$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 29c | 1,130$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.41 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…66efbacked No | 77c | 1,055$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 21c | 1,052$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.87 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 24c | 1,040$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…8cf6backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +340.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 58c | 969.98$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.17 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked No | 15c | 949$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.71 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…440ebacked No | 41c | 904.15$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…9af7backed No | 56c | 900$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed No | 52c | 857.81$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed No | 71c | 854.45$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 56c | 844.7$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.34 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked No | 3c | 827.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf5…4e75backed Yes | 24c | 817.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d1…a24ebacked No | 26c | 751$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed No | 56c | 729.58$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.92 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 64c | 704.16$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.92 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6fca…7477backed No | 70c | 700$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 55c | 662.68$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.48 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…d78ebacked No | 3c | 640.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 28c | 638.14$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.81 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 39c | 604.22$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.94 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…8fe5backed No | 17c | 602.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked No | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 54c | 600$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.24 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked No | 7c | 572.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 24c | 560.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.95 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16aa…d710backed No | 3c | 560.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 35c | 555$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.75 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 39c | 553.44$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.23 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 55c | 550.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.18 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 38c | 547.96$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.76 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed No | 9c | 515.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 39c | 500.22$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.92 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ad…99a8backed No | 3c | 490.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030b…6254backed Yes | 26c | 475.03$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 24c | 472.43$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.44 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 32c | 467$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 54c | 463.07$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.85 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…907abacked No | 11c | 451.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed No | 54c | 443$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.39 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 42c | 423.8$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.26 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80bf…e42ebacked Yes | 25c | 421.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…b088backed Yes | 73c | 410.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.18 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…c339backed Yes | 25c | 402.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5a…408cbacked No | 9c | 399.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed Yes | 35c | 385.6$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.61 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd231…7562backed No | 40c | 381.95$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…c8c8backed Yes | 60c | 355.98$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked No | 66c | 353.83$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.42 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?this page
- Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.