Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ac9ce26b8cbd803cc24287492318346c97b5a34365a0d51949f33c1bb506465
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $574,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $547,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $574,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c09…02cdbacked Yes | 69c | 36,376$25,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,276.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…c267backed No | 31c | 36,376$11,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,276.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…2d95backed No | 42c | 35,423$14,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,877.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x130a…b35abacked Yes | 58c | 35,423$20,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,877.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…070fbacked Yes | 58c | 34,789$20,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,611.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…5f66backed No | 42c | 34,789$14,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,611.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…2a73backed No | 42c | 31,829$13,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,368.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…0ce9backed Yes | 58c | 31,805$18,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,358.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…c818backed No | 45c | 31,148$14,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,016.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…7214backed Yes | 55c | 31,144$17,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,014.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 7c | 8,471$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.63 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 37c | 6,372$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.27 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 42c | 5,304$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.44 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed No | 1c | 5,014$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…be8abacked Yes | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 56c | 2,609$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.91 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 11c | 2,500$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.91 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 50c | 2,354$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.65 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 69c | 2,339$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.48 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked Yes | 67c | 2,282$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a94…a136backed No | 9c | 2,236$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked No | 10c | 2,005$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 7c | 1,773$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 4c | 1,679$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 50c | 1,593$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.51 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 9c | 1,580$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 21c | 1,556$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.51 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 1,506$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 1,450$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.75 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…8b69backed No | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 43c | 1,200$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.15 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed No | 7c | 1,114$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…5243backed No | 6c | 1,100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1,019.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked No | 4c | 1,041$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36d…290ebacked No | 12c | 1,000$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0db8…4348backed No | 1c | 934.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 62c | 885$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.5 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14d1…a24ebacked No | 59c | 884.6$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…eeb2backed Yes | 48c | 873.9$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 11c | 792.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed No | 13c | 780.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…21c1backed No | 8c | 750$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fca…7477backed No | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 53c | 696.99$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.06 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 30c | 678.31$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.11 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263d…d077backed No | 16c | 648.13$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 57c | 627.97$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.97 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 54c | 597$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed No | 6c | 588$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 9c | 500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked No | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed No | 6c | 500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 48c | 462$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.54 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed No | 48c | 418.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 35c | 415.09$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.46 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 70c | 393.25$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf645…b8c2backed Yes | 56c | 372$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 38c | 329.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.1 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 50c | 312.84$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.83 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 37c | 309.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.57 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked No | 6c | 299.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -89%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3df…d099backed No | 7c | 289.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 46c | 285.71$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 51c | 275.05$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 53c | 263.86$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 5c | 262.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 51c | 247.6$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.92 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…8fe5backed No | 57c | 247$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 74c | 239.47$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed No | 36c | 237.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed No | 6c | 236.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…73b2backed No | 9c | 231.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb671…8349backed No | 47c | 212.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…c339backed Yes | 50c | 198.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695e…08f7backed No | 9c | 196$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…aa67backed No | 20c | 194.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 40c | 193$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…b800backed No | 7c | 190.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 50c | 183$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…27cbbacked No | 55c | 182.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…18c4backed No | 50c | 163.52$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 45c | 154$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…489dbacked Yes | 70c | 145$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 43c | 141.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 46c | 138$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc3…a71fbacked No | 40c | 135.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 50c | 134$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Yes | 70c | 133$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 17c | 126.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…8ac9backed Yes | 62c | 126.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 32c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…8a13backed Yes | 34c | 117.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 41c | 117.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?this page
- Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.