Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6496bd8da54a8b1f15bfcc9ad83b303028431959562b6f36a01508ffc9de042d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 11c | 5,758$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.38 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…f99ebacked No | 8c | 3,298$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 12c | 3,054$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.09 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 7c | 2,672$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.92 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 2,469$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 1c | 2,330$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 5c | 2,151$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 5c | 1,993$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…cd8dbacked No | 2c | 1,465$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked No | 14c | 1,331$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.1 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 13c | 1,114$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.76 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 13c | 1,100$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1442…5a8fbacked No | 6c | 1,046$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 12c | 950$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…4443backed No | 5c | 860$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 4c | 800.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 11c | 721.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 589.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked No | 16c | 511$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 16c | 500$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 6c | 464$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed No | 15c | 452.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed No | 11c | 415$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…00fdbacked No | 5c | 405$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe15c…152cbacked No | 14c | 400$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…d81abacked No | 5c | 386.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 8c | 386.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…7f71backed No | 6c | 339.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 6c | 336.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e55…41fcbacked No | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a56…272cbacked No | 5c | 298$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…b754backed No | 6c | 270.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149e…8b3fbacked No | 7c | 264$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed No | 11c | 250.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x921e…8589backed No | 5c | 231$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0142…3440backed No | 7c | 209.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2536…b8bbbacked No | 7c | 207$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…421dbacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53d…3f4bbacked No | 6c | 179$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 12c | 178.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389c…7e01backed No | 7c | 161$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a4…543fbacked No | 10c | 142.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 13c | 103.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fae…ce9fbacked No | 14c | 99.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…6cdcbacked No | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?this page
- Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.