Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0531ca3aa67e9aec21f8265fdacf39f960c24f3faed1a3e5ac9b4613e6fcd98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $986,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,037,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $986,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 388 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 9c | 132,121$11,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,331.54 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe418…0e52backed Yes | 37c | 89,321$33,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,048.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…1104backed No | 63c | 88,527$55,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,755.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…6c1bbacked No | 76c | 50,923$38,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,221.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab8…a6d6backed Yes | 24c | 50,923$12,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,221.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 34,952$4,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,206.14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 2c | 30,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 5c | 12,906$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.52 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 77c | 12,075$9,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.18 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 9c | 11,307$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.65 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…531dbacked Yes | 29c | 10,490$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed No | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74db…4ca5backed Yes | 20c | 10,000$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.91 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 74c | 9,440$6,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.79 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 77c | 9,131$7,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 71c | 7,306$5,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.94 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…02d6backed Yes | 1c | 5,328$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 9c | 5,205$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.46 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 68c | 5,192$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.64 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 27c | 5,172$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.43 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ba…16d1backed Yes | 11c | 5,033$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 58c | 4,738$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.8 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 73c | 4,497$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.3 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 12c | 4,166$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.93 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 13c | 3,939$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.99 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 72c | 3,676$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.22 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88e…74b7backed No | 74c | 3,365$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 75c | 3,115$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.65 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 30c | 3,066$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Yes | 1c | 3,014$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 71c | 2,885$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.6 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 9c | 2,768$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.29 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…be8abacked Yes | 19c | 2,680$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,663$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 56c | 2,599$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.43 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed Yes | 17c | 2,424$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 63c | 2,355$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.58 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 28c | 2,185$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 60c | 2,168$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.19 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 21c | 2,108$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.01 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 31c | 2,054$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…61cebacked Yes | 33c | 1,976$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…4628backed Yes | 27c | 1,830$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f15…303fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,804$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 6c | 1,703$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 28c | 1,686$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +203.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,641$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.51 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…162cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,636$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.02 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 52c | 1,600$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.85 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 38c | 1,592$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.07 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 47c | 1,569$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.82 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,562$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 24c | 1,429$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…adefbacked Yes | 29c | 1,395$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,350$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…0becbacked No | 71c | 1,349$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed No | 55c | 1,321$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.88 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes | 4c | 1,251$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 51c | 1,246$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.1 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 77c | 1,212$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.62 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…4cadbacked No | 79c | 1,175$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed No | 63c | 1,170$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.16 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 22c | 1,165$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.06 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 74c | 1,151$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.66 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…2783backed No | 77c | 1,150$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…0d55backed Yes | 23c | 1,114$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.62 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…6068backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f5…0febbacked Yes | 5c | 1,086$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 25c | 1,085$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.67 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 35c | 1,074$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.75 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 15c | 1,032$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.79 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 46c | 1,025$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 982$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.51 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 979.14$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.62 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4666…c42fbacked Yes | 10c | 968.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 53c | 946.38$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.76 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…4377backed No | 74c | 939.87$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 74c | 914.27$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 8c | 907.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 52c | 900.54$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.68 | 126 | 19.8%25 W · 101 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed No | 74c | 860.73$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.4 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 2c | 800$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 55c | 799.98$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.99 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 1c | 799.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd188…f605backed No | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…b8f4backed Yes | 32c | 782.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 734.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 70c | 730$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…3a5fbacked Yes | 26c | 729.39$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked No | 65c | 714.48$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…9c77backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes | 35c | 700$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d2…5c8bbacked Yes | 20c | 696.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…64bbbacked Yes | 31c | 694.87$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?this page
- Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.