Us Politics · resolved market

Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08e4a29cfed319d93843bf78a0953f70c203fdc98051bb4a886483b4cc2ceb8a

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $79,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $74,999

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,206 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	0c	8,350$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.1	1,136	6.3%72 W · 1,064 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	13c	2,038$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.87	556	18.5%103 W · 453 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed No	73c	1,827$1,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.36	169	43.2%73 W · 96 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed No	74c	1,375$1,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.59	100	55%55 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes	5c	1,167$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.21	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x885b…ecd8backed Yes	4c	1,158$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.89	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed Yes	7c	1,101$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.28	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae89…9fb7backed Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76c8…0439backed Yes	20c	958.86$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.03	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	30cpaid	+55.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed Yes	6c	955.91$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.92	142	30.3%43 W · 99 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf289…2415backed Yes	15c	950.2$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.94	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes	21c	931.83$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.72	395	22.8%90 W · 305 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes	4c	884.98$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.35	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Yes	10c	839.64$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.16	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+3.7wins	+0.22per pick	31cpaid	+101%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfade…283bbacked Yes	33c	818.38$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4f…1f21backed Yes	3c	772.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x551e…b0e0backed Yes	20c	771.98$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.74	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+6.0wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+52.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes	4c	702.16$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.9	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	18c	670.01$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.48	996	29.5%294 W · 702 L	-73.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8b8…c770backed Yes	9c	568.17$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.46	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9961…adcbbacked Yes	29c	412$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.48	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed Yes	41c	401.54$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.63	286	36.7%105 W · 181 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x186f…cb99backed Yes	7c	369.16$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ab…daccbacked Yes	27c	364.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+98%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7d…8299backed Yes	42c	356.81$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes	28c	348.89$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.69	236	39.4%93 W · 143 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes	12c	334.81$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.82	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fca…7477backed No	73c	326.06$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.3	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes	34c	323.78$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.6	378	44.4%168 W · 210 L	+33.3wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+64.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2378…a059backed No	63c	302.56$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.95	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-5.3wins	-0.24per pick	70cpaid	-36%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x82a3…88d0backed Yes	7c	295.56$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.69	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b3…f830backed Yes	27c	294.57$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.99	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-73.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	28c	283.45$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.1	1,073	35.5%381 W · 692 L	-70.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0942…0155backed Yes	7c	279.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecd…2c00backed Yes	19c	267.65$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-43%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f72…0f9abacked Yes	8c	259.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9f…c17cbacked Yes	23c	256$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.88	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7590…a62abacked Yes	16c	250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.18per pick	35cpaid	-70.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f68…62abbacked No	59c	250$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.9	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-58%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f55…676ebacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9795…f696backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed No	61c	215$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.85	126	49.2%62 W · 64 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc438…b4f5backed Yes	10c	205.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-89%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	115	41.7%48 W · 67 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x012c…c821backed Yes	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	36cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf629…f0c4backed Yes	16c	191.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaf4…9e06backed Yes	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	16c	185.01$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.22	125	33.6%42 W · 83 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes	37c	184.96$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.43	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes	28c	174.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.68	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes	12c	167.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9197…d6aebacked No	79c	160.43$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.9	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4030…933dbacked Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc900…4faebacked Yes	25c	150.52$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.63	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes	16c	150$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58fe…d0e2backed Yes	18c	145.44$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.18	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x297f…6e57backed Yes	22c	144.72$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	17c	137.7$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.9	252	41.7%105 W · 147 L	-17.2wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa6f…7e67backed Yes	14c	127.7$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.14	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe010…6638backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-68.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	152	43.4%66 W · 86 L	+9.6wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d0…4fe8backed No	56c	118.13$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.43	135	56.3%76 W · 59 L	+13.4wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dbb…eb7fbacked Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x304d…1ad2backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633f…3c8abacked Yes	16c	103.7$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.81	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x768f…d08cbacked No	61c	101$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.02	106	32.1%34 W · 72 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dbe…c8a3backed Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked No	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	135	37.8%51 W · 84 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc2a…fd6dbacked Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe219…2b65backed Yes	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	35cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed No	60c	94.12$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.65	134	55.2%74 W · 60 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1614…ec02backed Yes	15c	90.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.89	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9afd…3028backed Yes	14c	87.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.85	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa289…d95cbacked Yes	35c	80$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f3…e44fbacked No	63c	79.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes	18c	77$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	189	14.3%27 W · 162 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe900…6cdcbacked Yes	32c	75$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	40	25%10 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2884…d0c3backed No	79c	70$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.8	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f8…95c4backed Yes	43c	69.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8622…b21dbacked Yes	54c	64.81$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f31…cb74backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes	36c	57.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.74	86	46.5%40 W · 46 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x797e…c764backed Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae39…0305backed No	73c	54.79$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.79	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes	28c	51$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.43	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d1…05a0backed No	69c	50.72$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.72	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes	31c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	28cpaid	-72%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28f3…79e8backed Yes	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd2a…828ebacked No	71c	42.25$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked No	68c	40$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.8	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0711…f03cbacked Yes	30c	35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	226	41.6%94 W · 132 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed No	73c	31$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.53	77	28.6%22 W · 55 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdea…34c0backed No	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed No	71c	21.39$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.2	91	60.4%55 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…3e65backed No	66c	21.33$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.25	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-5.0wins	-0.15per pick	27cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0710…42a2backed No	61c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?this page
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?No won
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?Yes won
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No won
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?No won
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Yes won
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?No won
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes won
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2025?Yes won
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?Yes won
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?No won
Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2025?No won
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?No won
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?Yes won
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes won
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?No won
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?No won
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event