Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf641646d7f8dd3eadde37981a3486cee19dfda4cbe733c2349aa5037836768f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 1c | 16,888$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 1c | 15,911$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.76 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b87…274cbacked No | 0c | 11,746$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 8,522$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 25c | 5,037$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.71 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 77c | 4,319$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.45 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 4c | 4,122$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a95…6a76backed No | 1c | 3,868$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked No | 1c | 3,798$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed No | 16c | 3,457$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 2c | 1,557$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…a4b0backed No | 1c | 1,510$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b1…e10ebacked No | 3c | 1,479$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +131%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked No | 3c | 1,274$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed No | 3c | 1,058$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed No | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked No | 9c | 1,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 16c | 793.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked No | 12c | 790.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…0d55backed No | 9c | 654.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 17c | 640.82$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 4c | 618.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…421dbacked No | 11c | 546.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…7d67backed No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed No | 4c | 487.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 3c | 466$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 3c | 380.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0590…256bbacked No | 17c | 364.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1003…a870backed No | 10c | 346$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 74c | 345$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 17c | 321.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…d02cbacked No | 11c | 306.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 9c | 254.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1998…be8cbacked Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 75c | 245.87$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 25c | 245.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 14c | 230.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 13c | 202$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…3d95backed No | 12c | 191$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 18c | 187.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 12c | 177.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 19c | 175$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 11c | 171.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x304d…1ad2backed No | 12c | 165.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed No | 17c | 159.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Yes | 65c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…3a85backed No | 17c | 144.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe578…34cbbacked Yes | 74c | 142.72$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 14c | 142.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 18c | 139.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…26b0backed No | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988f…01b7backed No | 13c | 128.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 11c | 114.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…907abacked No | 18c | 110.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed No | 36c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 13c | 108$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 10c | 102.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…3c8abacked No | 20c | 100.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0d…da48backed No | 26c | 100.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c5…a121backed No | 15c | 81.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed Yes | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…6cdcbacked No | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…a166backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d0…57c5backed Yes | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd870…8a7ebacked Yes | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5a…408cbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?this page
- Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.