Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29f5d34ac7112f90cf206ffe22f270450cf16c2690be2f744b5a1f2cb016db91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,757,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,755,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,757,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 819 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8c2…c9c4backed No | 62c | 118,632$73,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,080.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb464…0b8cbacked Yes | 38c | 118,632$45,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,080.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 8c | 100,000$7,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,939.93 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 88,940$65,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,154.49 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa64…7643backed No | 56c | 67,121$37,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,533.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…bdfebacked Yes | 44c | 67,121$29,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,533.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed Yes | 46c | 58,339$26,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,599.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…a31dbacked No | 66c | 56,805$37,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,313.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…e469backed Yes | 34c | 56,805$19,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,313.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc7…352bbacked Yes | 32c | 53,214$17,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,028.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…4f27backed No | 68c | 53,214$36,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,028.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5f…9069backed No | 70c | 52,007$36,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,602.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7d…1033backed Yes | 30c | 52,007$15,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,602.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659d…c7cfbacked Yes | 32c | 50,358$16,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,114.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…9ad1backed No | 68c | 50,358$34,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,114.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 66c | 20,688$13,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,093.52 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 12c | 15,746$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.19 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d66…e2acbacked Yes | 34c | 15,119$5,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,196.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 55c | 14,525$7,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,571.36 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…1b36backed No | 43c | 13,267$5,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,505.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked No | 68c | 11,956$8,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.26 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 71c | 11,177$7,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.99 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb464…caf8backed Yes | 8c | 8,631$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b28…69f6backed No | 53c | 8,569$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 31c | 8,492$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.56 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 20c | 8,108$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…976bbacked Yes | 9c | 7,399$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 9c | 7,298$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.78 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 23c | 7,220$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.09 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 54c | 7,100$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.82 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 2c | 6,291$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 47c | 6,000$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 51c | 5,770$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.51 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 71c | 5,306$3,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.59 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…c4c4backed Yes | 1c | 5,065$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 31c | 4,935$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.97 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 48c | 4,759$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.58 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked Yes | 34c | 4,685$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 62c | 4,640$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.99 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dc…3843backed Yes | 45c | 4,387$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fd…cd86backed No | 60c | 4,333$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 56c | 4,300$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.99 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15c…10d3backed Yes | 59c | 4,211$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74db…4ca5backed Yes | 47c | 4,162$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 41c | 4,026$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.69 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 42c | 4,026$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.62 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 44c | 3,723$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…64bbbacked No | 55c | 3,649$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…de35backed Yes | 6c | 3,429$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e6…8675backed Yes | 59c | 3,387$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…0659backed No | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ba…16d1backed Yes | 6c | 3,312$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 46c | 3,241$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.11 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac8…96d2backed Yes | 40c | 3,108$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -69%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…bc99backed Yes | 33c | 3,097$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…8783backed No | 65c | 3,000$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 69c | 2,909$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.97 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…74d6backed No | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,820$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.85 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 32c | 2,782$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.1 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 47c | 2,767$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.97 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0c…5e23backed Yes | 14c | 2,672$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,279$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb4…ac9cbacked No | 50c | 2,271$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 18c | 2,256$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…f9fbbacked Yes | 19c | 2,205$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 44c | 2,186$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.2 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,113$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.03 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 43c | 2,109$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.69 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 48c | 2,070$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.67 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes | 10c | 2,030$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…71e7backed No | 59c | 2,022$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.11 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…1981backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6453…5553backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 1,983$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…0261backed Yes | 49c | 1,863$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 50c | 1,850$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.14 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6256…7181backed Yes | 10c | 1,840$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 37c | 1,818$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.95 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…76e1backed Yes | 50c | 1,802$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 12c | 1,752$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.21 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 58c | 1,720$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.02 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf26…e5e5backed Yes | 8c | 1,711$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…71efbacked Yes | 6c | 1,710$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 51c | 1,698$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…2f36backed Yes | 6c | 1,658$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,654$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 55c | 1,644$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.35 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 30c | 1,625$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…29dbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,602$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 47c | 1,600$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad4…0bacbacked Yes | 33c | 1,559$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 6c | 1,539$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…0becbacked No | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f6…18bcbacked No | 68c | 1,464$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed No | 41c | 1,407$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…7878backed Yes | 8c | 1,390$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…a0cdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,371$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…1880backed Yes | 8c | 1,363$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…eeb2backed Yes | 41c | 1,355$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?this page
- Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.