Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fe7feef83117fbb4e30fe415154cb9fbd6a7f74ec3caa09fb1f90470120aff2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd228…997bbacked Yes | 14c | 6,700$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +667.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 76c | 4,619$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.65 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes | 10c | 2,140$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.89 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…8fe5backed Yes | 39c | 2,032$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 26c | 1,300$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.82 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 25c | 1,233$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.59 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 13c | 1,209$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 27c | 1,135$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.18 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedf…c648backed Yes | 11c | 917.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0053…f611backed Yes | 11c | 750.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 78c | 631.82$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 629.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…f9fbbacked Yes | 8c | 619.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe15c…152cbacked Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 9c | 531$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 19c | 520$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 53c | 340$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.05 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 35c | 315.1$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…a62abacked Yes | 14c | 308.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 20c | 299$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 78c | 290.13$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 76c | 290$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…88d0backed Yes | 9c | 280$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…c7aabacked Yes | 23c | 261.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 22c | 251.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 17c | 217$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6631…ac7cbacked Yes | 10c | 209.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7791backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…3486backed Yes | 18c | 166.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecd…2c00backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bda…5e13backed Yes | 29c | 133.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +634.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…6638backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 22c | 133$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14d1…a24ebacked Yes | 68c | 121.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 10c | 110.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed Yes | 19c | 107.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…1eb6backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…4f3abacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7313…cbbcbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…c390backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…4fcebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…e56bbacked Yes | 17c | 92.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 19c | 91.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 56c | 90.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…254cbacked Yes | 17c | 88.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed No | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 32c | 61.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 22c | 46.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…4831backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf7…573abacked No | 77c | 14.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?this page
- Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.