Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe29316993448cd8123e0f55c40dc3d70952230f0dcb3c737fa0bbf60c2aca7ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $462,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $459,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $462,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 79c | 73,822$58,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,497.75 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…02cdbacked Yes | 38c | 59,836$22,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,098.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…9ad1backed No | 62c | 59,836$37,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,098.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 31c | 58,478$18,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,289.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 61c | 37,097$22,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,675.28 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked Yes | 34c | 31,782$10,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,027.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 75c | 24,730$18,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,247.32 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed Yes | 72c | 19,202$13,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,411.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed No | 5c | 18,759$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.94 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 35c | 15,113$5,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,245.53 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…4f1bbacked No | 1c | 13,295$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 11c | 10,780$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.03 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 31c | 10,298$3,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.09 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 24c | 10,210$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…3eecbacked Yes | 71c | 7,900$5,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +562.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 11c | 7,721$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.63 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…3105backed No | 7c | 7,652$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.56 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…9a75backed No | 8c | 7,168$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 2c | 7,018$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…ba80backed No | 5c | 5,331$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.47 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 16c | 3,600$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.33 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 1c | 3,569$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…82d2backed Yes | 71c | 2,955$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 69c | 2,880$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.8 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 34c | 2,493$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.83 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 1c | 2,283$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…ad89backed No | 9c | 2,100$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 37c | 2,069$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.82 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…5458backed No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf356…d08bbacked No | 2c | 1,853$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 69c | 1,724$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.85 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…bab3backed No | 2c | 1,636$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 72c | 1,556$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.51 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 5c | 1,503$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 45c | 1,500$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 68c | 1,482$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.56 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 79c | 1,352$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.45 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 42c | 1,319$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.86 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 28c | 1,297$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.76 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 3c | 1,286$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…d4eebacked Yes | 44c | 1,284$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.54 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 11c | 1,272$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 26c | 1,142$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.66 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 52c | 1,141$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.24 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…aa40backed No | 6c | 1,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…10eebacked No | 6c | 1,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…4e2fbacked No | 2c | 999.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff0…54e7backed No | 7c | 900$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…f56bbacked No | 4c | 900$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked No | 69c | 849.97$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.48 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 46c | 848$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.6 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 65c | 844.27$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.73 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked No | 6c | 796.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…913bbacked No | 57c | 777.44$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 17c | 683.94$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.25 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 43c | 677.45$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.19 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 8c | 673.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 2c | 670.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…4853backed No | 4c | 663.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 658.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked No | 5c | 655.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2553…1ffebacked No | 9c | 651.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…0f96backed No | 9c | 623.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…4f7cbacked No | 9c | 619.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 62c | 612.15$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.33 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 56c | 600.12$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.64 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 54c | 600$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356d…ef13backed No | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 3c | 579$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 22c | 567$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…f347backed Yes | 28c | 556$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 53c | 550$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…5b7ebacked No | 4c | 514.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe15c…152cbacked No | 44c | 506$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe747…bcacbacked No | 2c | 502.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 4c | 499.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 38c | 498.51$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.35 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 68c | 485$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.8 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 51c | 481.84$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e4…45cebacked No | 10c | 412.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd175…bb3abacked Yes | 49c | 408.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 13c | 408.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 47c | 405.43$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.86 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 41c | 400$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.75 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked No | 51c | 397.8$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…adefbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 66c | 386.37$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 32c | 385$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.8 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 51c | 373$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.35 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 45c | 330$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 17c | 318.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.37 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…c28abacked Yes | 32c | 311.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 51c | 310.4$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…e148backed Yes | 24c | 300$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.65 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Yes | 41c | 290.24$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.63 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…fd58backed No | 71c | 283.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?this page
- Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.