Us Politics · resolved market
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x018513a28a9252c712f9f7414b4e651b5b4b03cb1a7a3530e938dd9f8aba4993
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 26c | 3,975$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.31 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 29c | 2,788$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.75 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 24c | 2,666$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.08 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 70c | 2,152$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.5 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaedf…c648backed Yes | 17c | 1,744$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 1,454$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,365$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.63 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 64c | 1,290$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.03 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Yes | 22c | 1,275$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.69 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 1,050$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 984.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 2c | 967.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 75c | 957.15$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.86 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…c304backed Yes | 27c | 845.45$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…71f4backed Yes | 12c | 795.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 60c | 785.97$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.74 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…0328backed No | 78c | 669.98$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 18c | 654$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 21c | 632.49$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed No | 80c | 626$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 15c | 607$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 12c | 532.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…48b2backed Yes | 28c | 469.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fca…7477backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 12c | 399.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 22c | 390$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed No | 68c | 358.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 11c | 341.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 6c | 334$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…c339backed Yes | 30c | 331.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…ad6dbacked Yes | 6c | 323.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 76c | 304.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…a236backed Yes | 26c | 300.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.22 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…b1e4backed Yes | 19c | 298.12$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…f103backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 76c | 283.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 75c | 274.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 4c | 268.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 74c | 260$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8988…44f6backed No | 76c | 252$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 30c | 245.04$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…dbcbbacked No | 69c | 241.52$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 33c | 222$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…b65bbacked Yes | 22c | 222$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 71c | 209.34$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa59c…bb62backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 18c | 193.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc447…f819backed Yes | 17c | 191.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed Yes | 11c | 190$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885b…ecd8backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 73c | 175.38$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed No | 72c | 173.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x170d…dcd1backed No | 66c | 151.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…27cbbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked No | 78c | 128.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…89c2backed Yes | 15c | 124.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 77c | 120.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 14c | 119.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 67c | 114.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 66c | 110.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…795abacked Yes | 36c | 105.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 126 | 31.7%40 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…a56dbacked No | 74c | 93.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed Yes | 24c | 92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 71c | 86.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 13c | 79.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 22c | 72.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked Yes | 19c | 71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…4bb9backed No | 33c | 64.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 53c | 62.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 79c | 60.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…9213backed Yes | 22c | 53.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…56d4backed No | 40c | 50.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…34b0backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab08…7aaabacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…bf81backed No | 71c | 46.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc3…a71fbacked No | 75c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…ad8fbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…95b4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 62c | 28.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe85b…60e1backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa821…fc33backed No | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…94f0backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9be…6252backed Yes | 58c | 17.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?this page
- Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.