NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x658b3388ba486fbe3dcea8f279a08d14fe9394577cb656fbf412cb1172a014b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Red Wings | 54c | 30,857$16,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,812.64 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe9…1113backed Penguins | 44c | 28,087$12,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,603.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Red Wings | 55c | 15,785$8,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,742.69 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Penguins | 44c | 14,934$6,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,339.03 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 57c | 14,289$8,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,131.48 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Penguins | 45c | 12,369$5,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,752.93 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Penguins | 45c | 12,267$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,746.67 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 44c | 9,407$4,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,283.86 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 45c | 8,889$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.89 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 54c | 7,837$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230.37 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Penguins | 45c | 7,778$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.78 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Red Wings | 23c | 7,631$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.08 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings | 57c | 7,480$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,263.57 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…2e08backed Red Wings | 56c | 7,300$4,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,058 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Penguins | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.98 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Red Wings | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Red Wings | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Penguins | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.92 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Red Wings | 36c | 4,865$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.68 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Wings | 51c | 4,796$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.89 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Red Wings | 22c | 4,735$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.13 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Penguins | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Red Wings | 56c | 4,295$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.11 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Red Wings | 11c | 4,087$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.19 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 72c | 3,979$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.81 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Penguins | 44c | 3,877$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.31 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Penguins | 44c | 3,815$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.25 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Red Wings | 56c | 3,368$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Red Wings | 56c | 3,334$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.05 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Penguins | 46c | 2,510$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings | 55c | 2,500$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.65 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Red Wings | 1c | 2,444$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Red Wings | 55c | 2,014$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.96 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Red Wings | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Penguins | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,881$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.91 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…e7e9backed Red Wings | 4c | 1,819$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…452ebacked Red Wings | 56c | 1,790$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…38b1backed Penguins | 44c | 1,772$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Red Wings | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Penguins | 70c | 1,710$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.8 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Red Wings | 56c | 1,638$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.28 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Penguins | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Penguins | 74c | 1,358$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.16 | 47 | 78.7%37 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Red Wings | 23c | 1,282$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Red Wings | 28c | 1,225$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.36 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…63b9backed Red Wings | 56c | 1,170$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83a…6bfcbacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,153$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Penguins | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.72 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Red Wings | 57c | 1,111$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.47 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Penguins | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings | 25c | 1,095$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.24 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Penguins | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,081$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.55 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…e5f4backed Penguins | 44c | 1,046$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Penguins | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Red Wings | 29c | 989.66$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 25c | 982.79$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.25 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5531…2aeebacked Penguins | 44c | 981.16$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Penguins | 79c | 973.29$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb066…284abacked Penguins | 44c | 950.13$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…f165backed Red Wings | 56c | 912.05$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe225…ee35backed Red Wings | 38c | 909.97$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Wings | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Penguins | 44c | 893.95$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Red Wings | 34c | 876.34$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.96 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Penguins | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…4a45backed Red Wings | 56c | 863.8$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f5…27bdbacked Red Wings | 56c | 848.52$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Red Wings | 56c | 844.92$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.92 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Penguins | 45c | 826.76$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.72 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd422…566ebacked Red Wings | 56c | 823.74$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…1e51backed Penguins | 44c | 807$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Red Wings | 55c | 806.76$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.72 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…ea7ebacked Red Wings | 56c | 804.07$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Red Wings | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa123…2746backed Red Wings | 56c | 769.63$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Penguins | 60c | 760.97$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.59 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5d9abacked Penguins | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Penguins | 64c | 748.1$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.93 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Red Wings | 56c | 736.75$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…c84abacked Penguins | 44c | 733.4$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232a…eab3backed Penguins | 44c | 724$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Penguins | 61c | 714.21$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.2 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Red Wings | 56c | 694$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.64 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Red Wings | 57c | 666.67$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Penguins | 44c | 653.58$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.01 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…620ebacked Penguins | 43c | 641.11$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Wings | 26c | 609.22$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.71 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Red Wings | 34c | 592.68$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Red Wings | 28c | 580.28$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Red Wings | 56c | 559$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.92 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Penguins | 59c | 555.58$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.71 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Penguins | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Red Wings | 51c | 554$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.54 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Red Wings | 56c | 535.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…dcc0backed Red Wings | 39c | 513$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Penguins | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Red Wings | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Penguins vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.