Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Sofia Costoulas vs Whitney Osuigwe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4c1837abcf836073034b06bf827e100216afdd54d25b5cd976c8961363f64d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Costoulasof Costoulas, Osuigwe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Osuigwe | 1c | 6,344$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Osuigwe | 17c | 2,808$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.7 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Costoulas | 74c | 1,075$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.59 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Osuigwe | 37c | 840.98$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.16 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Osuigwe | 20c | 505.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Osuigwe | 21c | 496.79$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Osuigwe | 5c | 407.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Osuigwe | 15c | 400$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Osuigwe | 17c | 357.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Osuigwe | 21c | 319.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Osuigwe | 19c | 304.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Osuigwe | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Costoulas | 75c | 249$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Osuigwe | 8c | 214.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Osuigwe | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Costoulas | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Costoulas | 73c | 110.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Osuigwe | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…143bbacked Costoulas | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Osuigwe | 15c | 81.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Costoulas | 63c | 79.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Costoulas | 63c | 74.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Costoulas | 67c | 56.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Osuigwe | 25c | 44.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0436…f431backed Costoulas | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x554f…afb4backed Osuigwe | 38c | 42.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1acd…8c92backed Osuigwe | 42c | 37.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…d1e1backed Costoulas | 73c | 27.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Costoulas | 80c | 26.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Costoulas | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Costoulas | 63c | 22.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Costoulas | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…161cbacked Costoulas | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Sofia Costoulas vs Whitney Osuigwethis page
- Costoulas vs. Osuigwe: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.