World Politics · resolved market
Yoon arrested before September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x010e41929484c55a7d497bdb95c85c03ce6fa3f1d54ad9c9494de73dc0d0097b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7fa…16cbbacked Yes | 78c | 55,107$43,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,983.84 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed No | 18c | 28,544$5,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…53a3backed No | 20c | 21,310$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,204.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0663…4a2bbacked No | 0c | 19,657$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed No | 12c | 15,000$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 21c | 10,060$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.74 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…57fdbacked Yes | 77c | 9,164$7,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 23c | 9,153$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.6 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…3101backed No | 1c | 7,433$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 7,228$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…778dbacked Yes | 75c | 5,424$4,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.39 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…b232backed No | 0c | 3,610$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed No | 20c | 3,569$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.68 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…04e7backed No | 37c | 3,534$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 8c | 3,500$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes | 77c | 3,420$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.72 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…0b6bbacked Yes | 75c | 3,303$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.27 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 25c | 2,778$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.57 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe817…6fe0backed No | 1c | 2,503$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 17c | 2,446$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.11 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 11c | 2,000$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed No | 2c | 1,996$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 1,714$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 10c | 1,660$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +87%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 23c | 1,650$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.3 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…5ec5backed No | 2c | 1,634$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdc…49ffbacked No | 13c | 1,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 3c | 1,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 17c | 1,437$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.95 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…0874backed No | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 78c | 1,153$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.66 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4847…a5c2backed No | 23c | 1,138$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…fe36backed Yes | 78c | 1,097$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 24c | 1,006$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.4 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 25c | 1,002$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked No | 7c | 919.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…9ee2backed No | 9c | 865$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 3c | 782.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…7057backed No | 3c | 599.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed No | 15c | 571$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…81fdbacked No | 18c | 560$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 75c | 540.79$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -8.2wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…4cd6backed No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bb…020bbacked Yes | 79c | 468.7$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 24c | 439.64$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…ba50backed No | 23c | 420$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed Yes | 75c | 396.15$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…718abacked No | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed No | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 52c | 260.36$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.22 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f2…010abacked No | 4c | 257.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Yes | 75c | 250$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafa8…4280backed No | 23c | 228.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed No | 24c | 200.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed2…f54bbacked No | 30c | 181.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…b1e6backed No | 24c | 178.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 72c | 166$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…c50bbacked No | 12c | 161.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 159.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…e2b0backed No | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…b128backed No | 31c | 153.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 22c | 148.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…43c0backed No | 25c | 146.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed Yes | 74c | 140.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 15c | 135.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…90aabacked Yes | 78c | 128.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…bc07backed No | 20c | 126.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 27c | 120.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…d969backed No | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…d2d5backed No | 23c | 107.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd124…b1c6backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…d1e1backed Yes | 76c | 93.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…243dbacked No | 22c | 92.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…bf35backed No | 22c | 91.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed No | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb77…7368backed No | 22c | 89.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6263…0ea5backed No | 28c | 77.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 20c | 75.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…5be3backed No | 30c | 71.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…42c6backed No | 16c | 67.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b7…c5babacked Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…9d35backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f68…3933backed No | 24c | 61.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc152…e378backed Yes | 65c | 60.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95fb…59bebacked No | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 80c | 54.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 50.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…8ad7backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…1338backed No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…016dbacked No | 25c | 47.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked Yes | 76c | 46.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…7506backed No | 34c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…85f5backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…6c9bbacked No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…9dc9backed No | 30c | 36.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.