Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f6a6ceb95d316836e1ccf4d7b76e0324d1eb52854882bcf1a2f3169394d08cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRG Academyof NRG Academy, Alliance Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,428 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked NRG Academy | 71c | 2,390$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.87 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa06…95babacked Alliance Guardians | 21c | 2,032$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Alliance Guardians | 21c | 1,207$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Alliance Guardians | 40c | 910.09$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.89 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…22c0backed Alliance Guardians | 23c | 778$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Alliance Guardians | 39c | 699.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.8 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bf…d34cbacked Alliance Guardians | 23c | 510$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Alliance Guardians | 19c | 500$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked NRG Academy | 66c | 393$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.08 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Alliance Guardians | 18c | 362.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alliance Guardians | 17c | 336.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NRG Academy | 58c | 318.48$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.29 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…770ebacked Alliance Guardians | 17c | 301$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked NRG Academy | 59c | 293.22$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.15 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Alliance Guardians | 19c | 267.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…0a83backed NRG Academy | 77c | 263$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179a…0b40backed NRG Academy | 77c | 258$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bd…84a3backed NRG Academy | 77c | 257$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d79…6478backed NRG Academy | 77c | 256$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…9103backed NRG Academy | 77c | 254$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alliance Guardians | 34c | 248.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked NRG Academy | 64c | 232.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked NRG Academy | 79c | 207$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Alliance Guardians | 33c | 182$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…2317backed Alliance Guardians | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Alliance Guardians | 28c | 163$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Alliance Guardians | 17c | 157.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Alliance Guardians | 29c | 145$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Alliance Guardians | 44c | 136.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Alliance Guardians | 28c | 136$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alliance Guardians | 35c | 118.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked NRG Academy | 80c | 115$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed NRG Academy | 66c | 110.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…5643backed Alliance Guardians | 13c | 110.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…9182backed Alliance Guardians | 24c | 106.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked NRG Academy | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…18e3backed NRG Academy | 66c | 96.28$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked NRG Academy | 80c | 96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe4…dd93backed Alliance Guardians | 20c | 85.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked NRG Academy | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed NRG Academy | 70c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked NRG Academy | 63c | 64.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed NRG Academy | 75c | 60.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Alliance Guardians | 25c | 60.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63cf…aa18backed Alliance Guardians | 42c | 60.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8af…f033backed Alliance Guardians | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alliance Guardians | 22c | 59.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked NRG Academy | 80c | 58.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed NRG Academy | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alliance Guardians | 33c | 54.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed NRG Academy | 56c | 54.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Alliance Guardians | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked NRG Academy | 66c | 47.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed NRG Academy | 70c | 47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed NRG Academy | 79c | 46.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed NRG Academy | 45c | 45.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed NRG Academy | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2926…1591backed Alliance Guardians | 68c | 38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…b35ebacked NRG Academy | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Alliance Guardians | 46c | 32.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed NRG Academy | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed NRG Academy | 78c | 27.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…a5aabacked NRG Academy | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed NRG Academy | 70c | 26.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3733…6ce0backed NRG Academy | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…7f9bbacked NRG Academy | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…fdc8backed NRG Academy | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance Guardians | 41c | 24.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Alliance Guardians | 45c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed NRG Academy | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed NRG Academy | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…d1e1backed Alliance Guardians | 72c | 14.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…5c3dbacked NRG Academy | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.