Fifa International · resolved market
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e8db171a38a3750788681e337b375cd9dd86b809b13a3d6c29144289e704b74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes | 40c | 8,382$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,041.32 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed No | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 53c | 6,199$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.97 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 37c | 5,236$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.92 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 67c | 4,639$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.86 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…e6a5backed Yes | 59c | 4,210$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 36c | 2,870$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.12 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 60c | 1,743$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.82 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed No | 33c | 1,198$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 56c | 1,006$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.23 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 75c | 785$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…7173backed Yes | 62c | 755.99$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.1 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…be73backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…57ebbacked No | 61c | 634.84$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 41c | 611.32$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.22 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | +15.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…91b9backed Yes | 55c | 588.61$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.06 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +7.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 34c | 558$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.03 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5026…dde1backed Yes | 74c | 542.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.74 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 40c | 537.67$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.07 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 531.38$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.85 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 25c | 497.75$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.2 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Yes | 50c | 468.08$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.25 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 34c | 339.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.37 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 77c | 323.16$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 28c | 319.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d3…4e2abacked Yes | 65c | 307.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed No | 21c | 300.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 30c | 285.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 40c | 282.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…2e65backed Yes | 78c | 264.01$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 51c | 249.63$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.94 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…f73cbacked Yes | 41c | 245.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.48per pick | 39cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 72c | 243$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0e…3e1bbacked No | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 79c | 238.82$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 42c | 236.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.77 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked Yes | 55c | 231.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.76 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 36c | 212.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…c73bbacked Yes | 50c | 197.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 44c | 187.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 24c | 177.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 38c | 169.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked No | 37c | 168$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 77c | 156.67$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed No | 18c | 155$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…d1e1backed Yes | 78c | 153$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 62c | 149.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 30c | 148.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…69debacked Yes | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 30c | 144.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 38c | 143.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 50c | 132.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 52c | 132.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 35c | 128.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 34c | 127.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 75c | 126.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…473abacked Yes | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…30a9backed Yes | 64c | 124.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…201fbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 59c | 110.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 73c | 110.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…5f5abacked Yes | 65c | 108.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e03…d995backed Yes | 75c | 106.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…d7d8backed No | 31c | 106$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…dddabacked Yes | 54c | 102.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…1c89backed Yes | 49c | 97.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 53c | 80.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 42c | 76.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…5a81backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes | 41c | 74.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 32c | 68.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 60c | 62.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 31c | 61.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Yes | 39c | 58.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 35c | 57.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc47d…843fbacked Yes | 53c | 56.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 63c | 55.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…e621backed Yes | 76c | 52.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 70 | 72.9%51 W · 19 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 62c | 51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…94d3backed Yes | 39c | 50.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277a…6345backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec1…b807backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2150…fa7bbacked Yes | 64c | 46.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…acdcbacked Yes | 63c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 63c | 45.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 62c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…4bf5backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…7954backed Yes | 71c | 41.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 54c | 40.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Yes | 61c | 40.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb18…d44cbacked Yes | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?this page
- Will Brazil be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.