Fifa International · resolved market
Will Brazil be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5c8de539cd704bce6da17044d235246dbc3f7d27fa4e12f2c422e3a6d6e403a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 32c | 772.35$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | +15.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed No | 67c | 608.64$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.85 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 32c | 466.44$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 66c | 319.25$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 25c | 310.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…91b9backed Yes | 18c | 300.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +7.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd74c…e70bbacked Yes | 33c | 249.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 22c | 238.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 69c | 219.6$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 185$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…5874backed Yes | 29c | 170.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 33c | 155$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 200 | 36%72 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 77c | 154.19$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60bb…e9a1backed Yes | 32c | 139.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18fd…2cfcbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 62c | 126.14$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 78c | 125$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 116.46$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 22c | 115$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 78c | 111$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Yes | 17c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 22c | 105$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed3…2268backed Yes | 29c | 104.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…b3e8backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 83.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 73c | 83.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 20c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 71c | 79.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7114…6432backed Yes | 20c | 79.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 28c | 78.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 18c | 73.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 27c | 69.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…eef5backed No | 79c | 63.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 60.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 68c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277a…6345backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…3c38backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 24c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 79c | 43.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…551abacked Yes | 29c | 41.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 25c | 41.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 68c | 27.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 71c | 24.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brazil be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?this page
- Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Colombia be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.