Fifa International · resolved market
Will Uzbekistan finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4a36c683ec998a6bb03e9d4a98921adf6696582a57b9789fcb58f12e084ea89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 76c | 2,018$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.33 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 24c | 867$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.08 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes | 76c | 853.73$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.72 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 26c | 848.09$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.54 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb3…5adfbacked Yes | 74c | 751.27$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.22 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 29c | 463.45$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Yes | 78c | 423.17$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed No | 24c | 393.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 27c | 357.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…7744backed Yes | 71c | 351.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 80c | 349.23$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 9c | 275$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 27c | 261.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 12c | 224.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked No | 24c | 212.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…b529backed No | 48c | 195.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 20c | 164.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 54c | 159.88$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 35c | 153.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 36c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 24c | 146$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 32c | 134.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed Yes | 75c | 133.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…00a1backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 30c | 115.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 38c | 107$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 74c | 106$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 26c | 95.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 45c | 94.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 76c | 90.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Yes | 48c | 83.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 23c | 83.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 78c | 82.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 33c | 72.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 17c | 65.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed No | 20c | 54.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 43c | 52.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 28c | 47.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 43c | 45.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…fd38backed Yes | 78c | 38.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…1e17backed Yes | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 27c | 37.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 46c | 37.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…535ebacked Yes | 57c | 35.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…266bbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b56…d1e1backed Yes | 79c | 34.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 37c | 30.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8647…d870backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…d264backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…805abacked Yes | 79c | 25.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…0da7backed Yes | 60c | 25.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 72c | 24.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52a…31a2backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…61b8backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x378f…a862backed Yes | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ad…5403backed Yes | 78c | 18.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…1f8cbacked Yes | 78c | 13.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf99…6a48backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…787cbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Uzbekistan finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?this page
- Will DR Congo finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Portugal finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.