Fifa International · resolved market
Will DR Congo finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cdca51832fc1dbb48319ec707ed4c52d33033a421fc072d952bdb4765797255
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 55c | 752$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.4 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 80c | 514$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.94 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 24c | 396.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 55c | 367.14$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 21c | 336.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 8c | 275$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed Yes | 57c | 263.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 19c | 260.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 23c | 258.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 255$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 24c | 193.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 54c | 181.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 19c | 179.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 22c | 176.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 22c | 168$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…b529backed Yes | 40c | 146.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 24c | 144.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed Yes | 22c | 124.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 77c | 117.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 105$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…cef0backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…bf23backed No | 66c | 76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 60c | 72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 24c | 70.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…d0d3backed Yes | 32c | 63.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 74c | 58.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 27c | 51.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 22c | 50.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…7a8bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 59c | 45.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 37.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…1e17backed No | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 37c | 35.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 42c | 30.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 79c | 30.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 80c | 26.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will DR Congo finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?this page
- Will Portugal finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Uzbekistan finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.