AI · resolved market
Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd730e31c172055955a3e1ce2157a357ef57025795e2c785cea292d2066bc2260
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 12c | 5,006$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.72 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe6…b39ebacked Yes | 76c | 4,850$3,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675.62 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 7c | 2,289$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.1 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 7c | 2,284$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +104%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a5f1backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…6a46backed No | 48c | 1,713$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…955dbacked No | 43c | 1,694$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +255.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed No | 27c | 1,684$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.36 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 44cpaid | +229.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x528e…1d21backed Yes | 26c | 1,630$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e27…602ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,420$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 66c | 1,162$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.5 | 460 | 38.9%179 W · 281 L | -31.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed Yes | 63c | 1,005$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.95 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 40c | 864.86$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.48 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 36c | 843.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.3 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 59c | 840.36$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 819.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…c54fbacked Yes | 63c | 714.31$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 43c | 673.09$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.53 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…16bdbacked No | 39c | 629.98$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…f793backed Yes | 63c | 622.92$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…4940backed Yes | 57c | 618.94$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 51c | 589.92$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.96 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…2882backed Yes | 59c | 498.82$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.3 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.2wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 57c | 475.88$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…ffa3backed No | 30c | 434$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.8 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…fa2abacked Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +146.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Yes | 60c | 398.17$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.52 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 60c | 393.03$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.01 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 31c | 381.42$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.7 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed No | 17c | 351.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.83 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 20c | 346$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.44 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes | 52c | 300$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 30c | 277.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.55 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed Yes | 53c | 269$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked No | 17c | 265.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 31c | 229.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.71 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…652abacked No | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed Yes | 69c | 218$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca7…04d4backed No | 31c | 216.57$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…3eaebacked No | 29c | 202.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.3 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…f6e7backed Yes | 55c | 180.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 18c | 180$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 43c | 180$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 57c | 174.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 63c | 169.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed No | 31c | 169$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…1c5bbacked Yes | 61c | 163.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…3c05backed No | 40c | 160$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 20cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe141…8647backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…716abacked Yes | 59c | 150.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…e2c1backed No | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…bb29backed Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 34c | 141.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 42c | 140.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed No | 47c | 137$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 27c | 129.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 31c | 119.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 28c | 119.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…a315backed No | 33c | 118$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed No | 47c | 118$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 13c | 107.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed No | 45c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce03…5608backed Yes | 58c | 103.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 54c | 102.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 47c | 102$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 10.7%8 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…0047backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ec…13acbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…1211backed No | 30c | 99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…2dacbacked Yes | 53c | 98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed Yes | 72c | 97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 57c | 95.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 258 | 31.8%82 W · 176 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes | 53c | 91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed No | 47c | 91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed No | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 49c | 88.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 894 | 17.1%153 W · 741 L | -145.2wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes | 61c | 87.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…b1a8backed Yes | 57c | 87.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 58c | 85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…8363backed No | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…087fbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c472backed Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed No | 26c | 79.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed No | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…1d12backed No | 38c | 77.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…d121backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b6…8001backed No | 56c | 71.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486a…1a4fbacked Yes | 77c | 71.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49bc…9b34backed No | 29c | 68.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 16c | 68.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ff…dd6ebacked No | 75c | 66.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?this page
- Will Andor be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?No won
- Will Bridgerton be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?No won
- Will House of the Dragon be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?No won
- Will Only Murders in the Building be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?No won
- Will Severance be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?No won
- Will The Bear be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?No won
- Will The Last of Us be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?No won
- Will The Night Agent be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?No won
- Will The White Lotus be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?No won
- Will Wednesday be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?No won
- Will Yellowjackets be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.